McCain is at something of a wall at 45%, while the likely Democratic nominee (Sen. Obama) is almost sure to get a bounce over being the consolidated nominee for his party.
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That seems to be the CW here. I would say it is backed up by a number of factors we’ve seen in the past. However, this is the Democrats we are talking about, they seem to have a way of losing.
“leaving your first wife after she was disfigured ruled”-cable news to McCain