Senator Obama, with wins in Ohio and Texas, seems poised to have something like a 100+ delegate lead over Sen. Clinton. i expect to see some superdelegates jumping on the bandwagon in the next two weeks.
I think Sen. Obama will win Texas, while Ohio will remain with Sen. Clinton. Considering that she needs something like 60% wins to catch up, I don’t see good things. In other words, Texas and/or Ohio will join Mark Penn’s list of states that don’t matter.
Jeez, Oliver. You make it sound like Texas is, you know, signifigant or something.
If a smart fellow like Mr. Penn says it’s not signifigant, then we should pay it no attention.
Off topic, I know, but I just wanted to point out to our Red friends that Bush has invaded another sovereign country.
Hmm. Imagine that.
Quaker, you know as well as I do that Texas is only significant if it goes to Clinton.
I want to see recent polls for Vermont and Rhode Island. I want to see if Obama can sweep the four states.
Here’s my prediction:
We’re going to get to do this all over again in 2012.
Why?
If McCain wins, he’ll be 76 (or is it 77?) when the next election rolls around.
If Obama wins, he’s going to inherit a great big mess, and as a Washington outsider, have few reliable friends in Congress–one term and out!
If Clinton wins, the GOP attack machine will cook up another “scandal” that will play endlessly on MSNBC, NYT, and WSJ.
So if you thought this election was fun, just wait!
I disagree, if a democrat wins the election, start playing the expectations game. Hey! The outgoing Bush staff erased everything! Wow, it’s worse than we thought. On a related note: 19%
The only polling for RI is stale. Brown University had Clinton up by 8.
But it’s over a week old.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ri/rhode_island_democratic_primary-544.html
Thanks, duros62.
8 points and a week old… I have to give Obama the edge here. Not a big edge, but an edge.
On a side note. According to Rasmussen… The democrats are ahead in enough states to give them 284 EC votes, and there are 38 tossups.
http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_electoral_college_update
I have slightly different numbers giving Obama a clear advantage (outside the margin of error) in enough states to win 259 EC votes. Also, of the top ten most competitive states nine of them were won by the Republicans last time so there’s huge number of possible pickups. (Only Conn. is a possible Republican grab, but that’s based on a poll that is months old.)
Whoever wins: just show me the inside of Cheney’s secret bunker and I’m yours for the duration. Deal?
In the end, as the public gets to know Obama (and McCain) it will be a landslide for Obama. I would be surprised if John Keat- er I mean McCain gets 40% of the vote.
show me the inside of Cheney’s secret bunker
I can’t wait for the next VP to move in. Hopefully, some guided tours with Keith Olberman will be in order.
Wow, look at the markets:
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Maps/Feb20.html
80/20 Obama,from 40/60 only a few weeks ago. That’s what I call momentum.