Sen. Clinton overcomes Sen. Obama’s union endorsement to win Nevada, but I’m more surprised at how horrific Sen. Edwards did in this contest. Considering that his home state is going to likely to go to Clinton or Obama (likely Obama) - you’ve got to think that his campaign’s life is being measured in days now.
And McCain wins South Carolina? Oh heavens. The problem seems to be that the conservative base is split among McCain’s opponents and for the time being none of ‘em are dropping out. Remember conservatives, if he’s the nominee you send America a loud message by staying home on election day. Heh.
Gawd, I hate to see The Hillbot take Nevada. I love Slick, but I wish he would stay home now. After MLK Mon. he’s going to be all over SC trying to peel back some of Obama’s black support. I don’t like where this is going… Obama better bring it now if he’s got it.
With the repubs it’s looking like it might come down to a nuclear brawl between McCain, Mittens and Huck. I heard Peggy Noonan say the republican party was looking for its soul.
More like looking into the abyss.
Gawd, I hate to see The Hillbot take Nevada. I love Slick, but I wish he would stay home now. After MLK Mon. he’s going to be all over SC trying to peel back some of Obama’s black support. I don’t like where this is going… Obama better bring it now if he’s got it.
With the repubs it’s looking like it might come down to a nuclear brawl between McCain, Mittens and Huck. I heard Peggy Noonan say the republican party was looking for its soul.
More like looking into the abyss.
I’m on a roll with longshot predictions tonight.
My guess is Edwards will stay in as long as Obama and Clinton run neck and neck. If he peels off just enough delegates to keep either of the others from going to the convention with a clear win, he’s the king (or queen) maker.
It seems to me Edwards’ supporters were split pretty damn evenly between Obama and Clinton. Him dropping out and endorsing someone else seems unlikely, but him picking up many delegate from now on also seems very unlikely.
On the Republican side, Romney winning by a huge margin in Nevada should offset some of McCain’s win in South Carolina, but not enough. Should Thompson drop out an endorse McCain, it will be bad news for the Democrats. On the other hand, should Giuliani actually win Florida, he’s strategy could pay off.
Should Thompson drop out an endorse McCain, it will be…a nippy day in South Hades.
The big youth turnout from Iowa doesn’t seem to be carrying over to any of the other primaries, but So. Carolina could prove different with such a huge minority influence on the outcome. Kudos to Hillary, as apparently her discomforting neo-con-esque voting record seems to be winning over the conservative hispanic vote. Of course, having the GOP shoot itself in the a$$ on immigration sure isn’t hurting.
As for McCain, his record over the Bush years should do plenty of damage to his campaign. Still, there’s no getting past the fact that a Hillary candidacy is going to drive the entire Repub party bat-sh*t insane and get even moderates (the 2 of you left) and right leaning independents to run to McCain, even if they hate him. The “anybody but Hillary” effect will be in full swing. This all assumes the economy doesn’t completely implode in the next few months (or even weeks) as the sub-prime debacle goes nuclear. How long till all those PMI insured loans (along with others) come crashing down when the banks try to call in that insurance? Don’t even get me started on all the bad paper at Fanny Mae. It’s weird to say, but thankfully the economy seems to be unraveling faster than expected, dropping this mess squarely at the GOP’s door. Of course, this won’t stop the GOP, or the 3rd of the voting populace that enables them, from whipping out the usual excuse…”Clinton!”