Virginia? Kentucky? Alabama? Very interesting. I’m pretty sure Virginia is going to be amazingly close - leaning Democratic.
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I think we will know who the next president will be at 7:00 pm on election night. That’s when Virginian and Kentucky close their polls and if either of those are too close to call, then the Dems will have won. If either of those are actually won by the Dems at that time, it will be a blowout.
I will say here and now that Viginia, Kentucky (and probably Indiana, another reliable red state that closes early), will be labeled as “too close to call”. On election night, the networks don’t want us tuning out early. They want us rivited to their screens all night. It’s in their self-interest to wait until as late as possible to call it.
If we look back to the heady days of the 1st Quarter of 2004, Kerry had as much as a 12 point lead. Polls this far out are essentially meaningless.
The Chargers are winning the Super Bowl
pretty meaningless is right!
Meaningless? A state as sanguine as Kentucky preferring Hillary over ANY conservative is interesting, regardless to how close to an election we are.
“If we look back to the heady days of the 1st Quarter of 2004, Kerry had as much as a 12 point lead.”
Talk about cherry picking your data. The same day as that poll ended, Rasmussen showed Bush was up by 5%.
Unless this poll is a total aberration, it is not meaningless. It could be an aberration, which is why the original poster mentioned being caution. However, there is no way to take this as good news for the Republicans.
More SUSA polls came out today showing Hillary over all three Republicans in Ohio and New Mexico. It also shows her beating Thompson and Romney in Missouri, though losing to Giuliani by one point.
The problem for the GOP is that her negatives are as high they can go. The GOP has thrown the bathroom sink at her. Every time they try to push negatives even higher, her supporters rally back to her side.
Giuliani, on the other hand, will get no more popular. In fact, his negatives are steadily climbing as the national public learns about his personal life, his connections to corruption, his insane foreign policy, and his mendacity on his role after 9/11. Giuliani needs to be way ahead at this point in order to win in November 2008.
The only wildcard for the GOP is Fred Thompson. But Thompson’s numbers are very unimpressive - up by 2 in Alabama (where he was born)?
Clinton’s negatives are a known quantity. Giuliani’s are not. That will change.