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	<title>Comments on: Election Prediction Thread</title>
	<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/</link>
	<description>Like Kryptonite To Stupid</description>
	<pubDate>Mon, 07 Jul 2008 00:54:02 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: Diamond LeGrande</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47888</link>
		<dc:creator>Diamond LeGrande</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Nov 2006 01:05:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47888</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Klobuchar and Kennedy are both lightweights steeped in talking points battling for a Democrat seat in a state that would never send two Republicans to the Senate. (Although Kennedy's ads have been pretty entertaining.)&lt;/i&gt;

Except we have done that. From 1978 through 1990 (Paul Wellstone knocks off Rubber Stamp Rudy), Minnesota had two Republican senators. Of course, one of the was Dave Durenberger, who pretty openly doesn't like the Republican party anymore (he endorsed John Kerry in 2004).

Incidentally, I've met Klobuchar's dad, who is quite famous up here, as you said. Real dick. I'm still voting for her, but her father is one of the most pompous asses I have ever met.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Klobuchar and Kennedy are both lightweights steeped in talking points battling for a Democrat seat in a state that would never send two Republicans to the Senate. (Although Kennedy&#8217;s ads have been pretty entertaining.)</i></p>
<p>Except we have done that. From 1978 through 1990 (Paul Wellstone knocks off Rubber Stamp Rudy), Minnesota had two Republican senators. Of course, one of the was Dave Durenberger, who pretty openly doesn&#8217;t like the Republican party anymore (he endorsed John Kerry in 2004).</p>
<p>Incidentally, I&#8217;ve met Klobuchar&#8217;s dad, who is quite famous up here, as you said. Real dick. I&#8217;m still voting for her, but her father is one of the most pompous asses I have ever met.</p>
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		<title>By: AugustJPollak</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47887</link>
		<dc:creator>AugustJPollak</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Oct 2006 17:08:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47887</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Yes, of course! When states don't elect black Republicans for governor it's because those candidates are out of touch. When a state doesn't elect a black Democrat it's because of racism.&lt;/i&gt;

Man, I'm glad no one really condensed those two elections and left out possibly-significant details related to voter leanings in Red and Blue states and over two hundred years of local cultural attitudes toward race, because man, they'd really look like a moron, wouldn't they.

&lt;i&gt;And remember, when Lieberman wins, it will count as a lost seat for the Democrats. It doesn't matter if Lieberman will caucus with the Democrats or not.&lt;/i&gt;

Oh, sweet!  We can do that?  Awesome.  I call that if Corker wins, it doesn't really count. Because I called it.  In fact I licked the voting machine handle; it's mine now. NO BACKSIES!  Pinky swear.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Yes, of course! When states don&#8217;t elect black Republicans for governor it&#8217;s because those candidates are out of touch. When a state doesn&#8217;t elect a black Democrat it&#8217;s because of racism.</i></p>
<p>Man, I&#8217;m glad no one really condensed those two elections and left out possibly-significant details related to voter leanings in Red and Blue states and over two hundred years of local cultural attitudes toward race, because man, they&#8217;d really look like a moron, wouldn&#8217;t they.</p>
<p><i>And remember, when Lieberman wins, it will count as a lost seat for the Democrats. It doesn&#8217;t matter if Lieberman will caucus with the Democrats or not.</i></p>
<p>Oh, sweet!  We can do that?  Awesome.  I call that if Corker wins, it doesn&#8217;t really count. Because I called it.  In fact I licked the voting machine handle; it&#8217;s mine now. NO BACKSIES!  Pinky swear.</p>
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		<title>By: Organic George</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47886</link>
		<dc:creator>Organic George</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Oct 2006 15:48:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47886</guid>
		<description>There is the outside possibility of a Dem sweep, if the undecideds break our way.

I won't bet on it, but it's not out of the realm of possibility.

Maybe we should bet the over/under ?
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There is the outside possibility of a Dem sweep, if the undecideds break our way.</p>
<p>I won&#8217;t bet on it, but it&#8217;s not out of the realm of possibility.</p>
<p>Maybe we should bet the over/under ?</p>
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		<title>By: midderpidge</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47885</link>
		<dc:creator>midderpidge</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Oct 2006 14:55:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47885</guid>
		<description>If Republicans hold the Senate, the price of gas will average above $2.70 before christmas.  If Dems take it, the price will  stay close to the current levels or lower.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If Republicans hold the Senate, the price of gas will average above $2.70 before christmas.  If Dems take it, the price will  stay close to the current levels or lower.</p>
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		<title>By: Aaron Adams</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47884</link>
		<dc:creator>Aaron Adams</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Oct 2006 13:58:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47884</guid>
		<description>Wave Results - 2006 Midterm Elections - Predictions

Never been timid giving my predictions:

Assuming no November Surprize:

House:

Dems gain 35 seats +/- 10

Senate:

Dems hold NJ, MD, WA, MI.
Dems win RI, PA, OH, MT, MO, VA

Result:

Dems control both houses of Congress.

Bush stonewalls all oversight investigations forcing a constitutional crisis,

The TN senate race may surprize me but I don't think white, southern, conservative voters will vote for Harold Ford, Jr. However, if the wave is big enough, Ford may just pull it out. If he does and the dems gain seven seats and Lieberman defeats Lamont in CT, the Senate Democratic caucus will strip Lieberman of his seniority. In that event, Lieberman loses his committee chairmanship. Lieberman won't change parties because even if he did dems would retain the majority.

I like them apples!
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Wave Results - 2006 Midterm Elections - Predictions</p>
<p>Never been timid giving my predictions:</p>
<p>Assuming no November Surprize:</p>
<p>House:</p>
<p>Dems gain 35 seats +/- 10</p>
<p>Senate:</p>
<p>Dems hold NJ, MD, WA, MI.<br />
Dems win RI, PA, OH, MT, MO, VA</p>
<p>Result:</p>
<p>Dems control both houses of Congress.</p>
<p>Bush stonewalls all oversight investigations forcing a constitutional crisis,</p>
<p>The TN senate race may surprize me but I don&#8217;t think white, southern, conservative voters will vote for Harold Ford, Jr. However, if the wave is big enough, Ford may just pull it out. If he does and the dems gain seven seats and Lieberman defeats Lamont in CT, the Senate Democratic caucus will strip Lieberman of his seniority. In that event, Lieberman loses his committee chairmanship. Lieberman won&#8217;t change parties because even if he did dems would retain the majority.</p>
<p>I like them apples!</p>
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		<title>By: Marty</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47883</link>
		<dc:creator>Marty</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Oct 2006 13:25:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47883</guid>
		<description>...blue state with a major newspaper that is basically an extension of the Democratic party (although they always make a point to endorse one safe Republican to make it look like they are thoughtful and non-partisan.) Of course, it doesn't hurt that her dad also work's there.

Klobuchar and Kennedy are both lightweights steeped in talking points battling for a Democrat seat in a state that would never send two Republicans to the Senate.(Although Kennedy's ads have been pretty entertaining.)
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8230;blue state with a major newspaper that is basically an extension of the Democratic party (although they always make a point to endorse one safe Republican to make it look like they are thoughtful and non-partisan.) Of course, it doesn&#8217;t hurt that her dad also work&#8217;s there.</p>
<p>Klobuchar and Kennedy are both lightweights steeped in talking points battling for a Democrat seat in a state that would never send two Republicans to the Senate.(Although Kennedy&#8217;s ads have been pretty entertaining.)</p>
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		<title>By: Jay</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47882</link>
		<dc:creator>Jay</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Oct 2006 13:15:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47882</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;This is one of the toughest ones for me to call. I'm hoping it goes the other way, but I'm from a state south of the Mason-Dixon with a Yankee sensibility and I have a hard time seeing a part of the solid south like Tennessee voting for a black man for senator.&lt;/i&gt;

It has nothing to do with Ford being a &lt;i&gt;black man&lt;/i&gt;. It has to do with Ford being a &lt;i&gt;Democrat&lt;/i&gt;.

And remember, when Lieberman wins, it will count as a lost seat for the Democrats. It doesn't matter if Lieberman will caucus with the Democrats or not.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>This is one of the toughest ones for me to call. I&#8217;m hoping it goes the other way, but I&#8217;m from a state south of the Mason-Dixon with a Yankee sensibility and I have a hard time seeing a part of the solid south like Tennessee voting for a black man for senator.</i></p>
<p>It has nothing to do with Ford being a <i>black man</i>. It has to do with Ford being a <i>Democrat</i>.</p>
<p>And remember, when Lieberman wins, it will count as a lost seat for the Democrats. It doesn&#8217;t matter if Lieberman will caucus with the Democrats or not.</p>
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		<title>By: Marty</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47881</link>
		<dc:creator>Marty</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Oct 2006 13:13:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47881</guid>
		<description>Wow- you truly think Cardin will beat Steele by double digits?

Even after Wayne Curry, and most of the county Democrats in PG have loudly endorsed Steele? Could that open the floodgates?

If Cardin wins it will be "barely," but what should have been a Cardin romp in a 2-1 Dem state is a toss-up.

And like Allen, McCaskill is taking a race that she could have won and is losing ground daily for all her stupid moves (Yes- the book move by Allen may have been the kiss of death- Webb has enough real life problems that far outweigh his fiction- stupid move.) Talent will win in MO. Of course, McCaskill had some help  on losing ground on this from ACORN and a soldier named Josh. But hey- at least people will learn that a nurse practitioner is someone who can provide treatment for an ankle you broke playing volleyball.)

And Klobuchar beats Kennedy because despite the seemingly purple swing, Minnesota is still a blue state with a major ne
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Wow- you truly think Cardin will beat Steele by double digits?</p>
<p>Even after Wayne Curry, and most of the county Democrats in PG have loudly endorsed Steele? Could that open the floodgates?</p>
<p>If Cardin wins it will be &#8220;barely,&#8221; but what should have been a Cardin romp in a 2-1 Dem state is a toss-up.</p>
<p>And like Allen, McCaskill is taking a race that she could have won and is losing ground daily for all her stupid moves (Yes- the book move by Allen may have been the kiss of death- Webb has enough real life problems that far outweigh his fiction- stupid move.) Talent will win in MO. Of course, McCaskill had some help  on losing ground on this from ACORN and a soldier named Josh. But hey- at least people will learn that a nurse practitioner is someone who can provide treatment for an ankle you broke playing volleyball.)</p>
<p>And Klobuchar beats Kennedy because despite the seemingly purple swing, Minnesota is still a blue state with a major ne</p>
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		<title>By: JWG</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47880</link>
		<dc:creator>JWG</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Oct 2006 12:45:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47880</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;I have a hard time seeing a part of the solid south like Tennessee voting for a black man for senator&lt;/blockquote&gt;
Yes, of course! When states don't elect black Republicans for governor it's because those candidates are out of touch. When a state doesn't elect a black Democrat it's because of racism.

It's all so clear.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>I have a hard time seeing a part of the solid south like Tennessee voting for a black man for senator</p></blockquote>
<p>Yes, of course! When states don&#8217;t elect black Republicans for governor it&#8217;s because those candidates are out of touch. When a state doesn&#8217;t elect a black Democrat it&#8217;s because of racism.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s all so clear.</p>
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		<title>By: Dugger</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47879</link>
		<dc:creator>Dugger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Oct 2006 12:42:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47879</guid>
		<description>I think you got it right.  Tenn and Va are hard.  Even though polls show Ford strong, I just don't see a  Dem winning in Tenn in a close race.  When it is all said and done, the Senate may be tied - depending on what Smoking Joe Lieberman decides to do re Party affiliation votes. The House may go over.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think you got it right.  Tenn and Va are hard.  Even though polls show Ford strong, I just don&#8217;t see a  Dem winning in Tenn in a close race.  When it is all said and done, the Senate may be tied - depending on what Smoking Joe Lieberman decides to do re Party affiliation votes. The House may go over.</p>
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		<title>By: Adam</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47878</link>
		<dc:creator>Adam</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Oct 2006 06:40:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2006/10/30/election-prediction-thread/#comment-47878</guid>
		<description>Arkansas Gov. Race:  Beebe d. Huchinson.

This will be good for the state.  Is Bebee a great Democrat?  Who knows?  Not all Dems from AR can be like Bill Clinton.  Still, this guy's got a double digit lead over &lt;a href="http://www.cafepress.com/asaforgovernor" rel="nofollow"&gt;"ASA!"&lt;/a&gt;
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Arkansas Gov. Race:  Beebe d. Huchinson.</p>
<p>This will be good for the state.  Is Bebee a great Democrat?  Who knows?  Not all Dems from AR can be like Bill Clinton.  Still, this guy&#8217;s got a double digit lead over <a href="http://www.cafepress.com/asaforgovernor" rel="nofollow">&#8220;ASA!&#8221;</a></p>
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