Here is a chart of the polling from Hewitt’s prediction to date:

Here is the stock price for Sen. Obama on Intrade since Hewitt made his prediction:

The Hewitt Indicator still holds and it flashes BLUE for an Obama win, so far.

Obama was in the prevent defense mode, and McCain moved the ball a long way down the field.

As a football fan, I hate the “prevent”, but prevent is almost always being used by the winning team.

One campaign book that has already bitten the dust is right-wing radio host Hugh Hewitt’s How Sarah Palin Won the Election … and Saved America, which the literary agent Curtis Yates sent to publishers in New York last week.

When Media Mob reached Mr. Yates by phone on Monday, he’d already given up on trying to sell the book.

‘The idea was to tell the story behind the effect that Sarah Palin has had on this election and how it is and why it is that she has basically turned the election around for McCain and why it is that she is resonating with so many people in the country,’ he said. ‘The intent was to finish the book by a week after the election, and to have it out before the inauguration.’

Was that the plan regardless of who won?

‘The book obviously presumed [a McCain-Palin victory],’ Mr. Yates said, ‘but the theory was that her impact on this election will have a lasting effect regardless—that she’s not gonna go anywhere, that she’s just gonna be a figure in G.O.P. politics going forward.’

Somehow the guy whose last two books were about the permanent Republican majority and Mitt Romney being the Republican nominee isn’t the one I’d go to for lotto numbers.

(via)

About a month ago, Hewitt said that the Obama campaign was in a state of “accelerating collapse”. Since Hewitt made his statement, here has been the trajectory of the campaign in polls. Blue is Sen. Obama.

On the prediction market Intrade, here has been Obama’s price since Hewitt forecasted the collapse:

And here’s McCain’s price

That’s the latest proof to me that the Hewitt indicator works.

So today when Hewitt says “With One Month To Go: Why McCain Will Close and Win” what else can we think other than that Barack Obama will win this election? This is the same brand of prediction Hewitt made before the 2006 election, where he was so sure that there was no way Dems would take the House and the Senate. It was also the same brand of prediction he made earlier in the season where he stated without equivocation that John McCain’s campaign was over and that the subject of Hewitt’s hagiography, Mitt Romney, would be the Republican standard-bearer.

I have not found an predictor of the future that competes with the Hewitt Indicator. And it says Barack Obama will be our next president. Why? Becuase Hugh Hewitt says he will lose.

I’ve done this before. In January of 2007, Hewitt declared “McCain campaign on the rocks”. I took that opportunity to make the observation that momentum was clearly on John McCain’s side for the Republican nomination. I had no hard and fast data in my hands, just the God-given knowledge that to be on the opposite side of an issue from the dishonest Hugh Hewitt is to be on the right side of history. And of course, a little more than a year later Sen. McCain had the GOP nomination while Mitt Romney, the subject of Hewitt’s quickie book A Mormon In The White House? (now available in bargain bins from coast to coast). was roaming the used car lots of America, seeking the surviving members of his tribe.

In 2006, contrary to every poll and analysis, Hewitt insisted that the GOP would hold on to the House and Senate, heck he even implied that they might make gains! Speaker Pelosi and Majority Leader Reid, of course, know what happened there. Although Hewitt wrote a book about that too. Painting the Map Red: The Fight to Create a Permanent Republican Majority is sort of the “Dewey Defeats Truman” of its genre.

I say this all to preface my new and improved predictor using the Hewitt Indicator. Hewitt writes (citing Victor Davis Hanson, who never got back to me about the made-up “liberal furor” he cited over the movie 300) about the “accelerating collapse” of the Obama campaign. This, my friends, can only mean one thing.

Momentum is on Barack Obama’s side. I worked it out in my math machine, calculating the chances of my statement being true times the amount of wrong Hugh Hewitt sends out into the world on an hourly basis and the result is consistent. Obama has momentum because Hugh Hewitt says he doesn’t.

THAT’S SCIENCE. AND SCIENCE DOESN’T LIE.

(Bonus: As I noted yesterday, Hewitt slammed Obama for using a teleprompter on the trail while two posts down printing a picture of Sarah Palin using a teleprompter. There is now an image in the NY Times of the stage at a McCain campaign stop where McCain is using… a teleprompter.)

It’s like Hewitt is working for the church as a P.R. man.

Oh dang…

Of course, as you should know with Hugh Hewitt by now, reality is the exact opposite.

Just 31 percent of Americans approve of how President Bush is handling his job, according to a poll released Wednesday, the fifth anniversary of the start of the Iraq war.

Sixty-seven percent of those questioned in a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey disapprove of the president’s performance.

The 31 percent approval number is a new low for Bush in CNN polling, and 40 points lower than the president’s number at the start of the Iraq war.

Not surprisingly, Hewitt has a role in John McCain’s muddled Al Qaeda/Iraq/Iran/Sunni/Shia mess.

It will come as no surprise to those of you who have paid attention, but conservative blogger and third-tier right wing radio host Hugh Hewitt is a hypocrite. For the last year and a half Hewitt pushed the candidacy of Mitt Romney, the guy who is supposedly a financial wizard that ended up spending $1.1 million for each delegate he earned in his ultimately fruitless run for the presidency. A core part of Hewitt’s flackery was that questions about religion were beyond the pale. Any sort of inquiry into a church’s unorthodox practices was decried as religious bigotry by Hewitt. Simply asking if Romney believed that Jesus would come to America – an element of Mormon theology – was just liberal bias.

Of course in the case of the media hyping the words of Senator Obama’s former pastor – words Sen. Obama has rejected, denounced, and disavowed – Hewitt unsurprisingly has a whole new position:

(after playing a clip of Jeremiah Wright)

Hugh Hewitt: What kind of level of detail ought Barack Obama to be expecting to come forward with? I think he ought to answer each and every one of these clips, and respond in detail to them.

All the furor over Spitzer’s stupid antics this week, and the cons always show us who the real professional whores are. (via)