2008 Election News

Minnesota Supreme Court: Al Franken Won

This isn’t news to anyone that isn’t Norm Coleman, but it’s good to have it in the record. Again.
The Minnesota Supreme Court on Tuesday ordered that Democrat Al Franken be certified as the winner of the state’s long-running Senate race, paving the way for a resolution in the seven-month fight over the seat.
Now Tim Pawlenty [...]

30% Of 2008 Votes Cast Before Election Day

I had no idea the numbers were so high. I think on balance its a good thing, as it lessens the election day crush and a wider voter window gets more people in to the polls. Here in Maryland we passed early voting this year, so I expect that number of advance voters to get [...]

Coleman Tricks Giving Franken Votes

Man, it figures.

Wondering Out Loud

Would the Minnesota senate race have been much further apart and in favor of the Democrat if they hadn’t nominated a celebrity like Franken? I’m pretty cold on the idea of nominating celebrities for positions like this, even ones who clearly have a strong grasp of the issues like Franken does. This election doesn’t do [...]

A Republican Is Elected, And That’s Good News

Because in this case the Republican was running against the crooked William Jefferson. A guy like Jefferson shouldn’t be in our government, and considering the Dem margin of control in the House, we can afford to add a wingnut for a couple years.
Ah, Louisiana.

A Regional Southern Party

Ah, Georgia you re-elected Saxby Chambliss and you didn’t vote with the rest of America on election day.
Georgia, I know Virginia and North Carolina.
And Georgia, you’re no Virginia or North Carolina.
Woe are the Democrats who will have to make do with 58-59 members of their senate caucus, total control of the House and a [...]

Mark Begich Wins, Dems +1 More In The Senate

Woot.
Alaska Sen. Ted Stevens has lost his bid for a seventh term. The longest-serving Republican in the history of the Senate trailed Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich by 3,724 votes after Tuesday’s count. That’s an insurmountable lead with only about 2,500 overseas ballots left to be counted.

Election 2008

AP: Obama becomes first black president in landslide
11:37: It happened here. In America.
11:00BARACKOBAMAELECTED44THPRESIDENTOFTHEUNITEDSTATES
10:44: Fox calls VA for Obama. YES. YES.
10:04: Chris Wallace calls Bob Schaffer and Tom Udall “two very attractive men”
10:00 Iowa goes Obama. WOOT.
9:39 Fred Barnes is pissy.
9:38 New Mexico baby. SO EXCITED
9:31 O-H-I-O
9:24: NBC calls OHIO.
9:20: Fox calling Ohio… we’ll see.
9:01 Minnesota [...]

Final Prediction

Obama 286 – McCain 252
Popular vote: Obama by 2%
Map:

I feel pretty safe with this map. I’m conservative when it comes to these things, though I wouldn’t be surprised now with an Obama win in FL, OH, MO and even NC. Of those, the most likely to flip is FL which would be a huge prize.
In [...]

Bush Led Kerry At This Point In 2004

I don’t know why people writing about the election – especially conservatives – keep getting this wrong. Today it is Edward Luce writing in the Financial Times.
The RealClear Politics website’s average of polls, which gives Mr Obama a lead of 6.8 per cent over Mr McCain, offers a better guide to the situation. It compares [...]

GOP, McCain Inciting Violence Vs. ACORN

It’s how the right rolls.
An ACORN community organizer received a death threat and the liberal activist group’s Boston and Seattle offices were vandalized Thursday, reflecting mounting tensions over its role in registering 1.3 million mostly poor and minority Americans to vote next month.
Attorneys for the Association of Community Organizers for Reform Now were notifying the [...]

Supreme Court Rules For Ohio Secretary Of State

And remember, this is the conservative Roberts court.
The Supreme Court sided Friday with Ohio’s top elections official in a dispute with the state Republican Party over voter registrations.
The justices overruled a federal appeals court that had ordered Ohio’s top elections official to do more to help counties verify voter eligibility.
Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner, a [...]

Retreat! Retreat!

The NRSC is pulling out of Colorado. Which probably means they’re giving up on the Udall-Schaffer senate race. And they have to defend more red seats.
Love it.
UPDATE: Here’s video of Republican Bob Schaffer whining because he can’t bring notes in to a debate.

A Nation Of Dilla Freeman Burts

Unstoppable.

A month after her 100th birthday, Dilla Freeman Burt cast the first vote of her long life — for presidential candidate Barack Obama.
It’s the excitement surrounding these elections — a woman running for vice president and a black man running for president — that prompted Burt to action, said her daughter, Phyllis Burt.
‘I was feeding [...]

Sherrod Brown Reads Our Minds

A fringe benefit of an Obama win would be pointing and laughing at Fox News. Myself, if things go as planned, I plan to block out 12-3 the day after the election day to listen to Limbaugh.

At about 11:30 pm, he told the crowd, they should switch over to Fox News, the network on which [...]

The 401(k) Blues

Conservative columnist George Will hits the nail on the head
But the McCain-Palin charges have come just as the Obama campaign is benefiting from a mass mailing it is not paying for. Many millions of American households are gingerly opening envelopes containing reports of the third-quarter losses in their 401(k) and other retirement accounts — telling [...]

Election Prediction

Unlike my earlier hedge-filled predictions I made about the election, this one I make without equivocation: There will be no tie. The 269-269 electoral tie will not happen in 2008. I feel as sure as when I succesfully predicted that we wouldn’t have a brokered Democratic convention.
I’m not saying we won’t have any Florida-style suspense [...]

Current Prediction

Right off the bat, I should note that I don’t have any particularly great skill at this. But then, neither do the vast majority of the talking heads on TV.
I think there’s an 85% chance Sen. Obama will win. That’s been my number for most of the election season. Right after the 2006 election that [...]

Quinnipiac Swing State Polls

Positive movement all over for Sen. Obama
# Colorado: Obama leads 49 – 45 percent, compared to 47 percent for McCain and 46 percent for Obama August 24;
# Michigan: Obama tops McCain 48 – 44 percent, compared to 46 – 42 percent July 24;
# Minnesota: Obama leads 47 – 45 percent, compared to 46 – 44 [...]

The Palin Effect In Florida

Among a group of undecided voters the pick of Sarah Palin has moved most (grudgingly) towards Sen. Obama. I also think that Palin’s close association with the fringe of the Christian right who want war in the Middle East to bring about the rapture isn’t helping among Jewish voters. That information, combined with this video [...]