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Newsweek News

Thanks, Tom Tancredo

2004 Hispanic Vote
55% Kerry 44% Bush
2008 Hispanic Vote
67% Obama 31% McCain
The GOP has alienated the fastest growing set of Americans, possibly for a generation.
Si Se Puede.

Joe The Ubiquitous Presence Calls Obama A Traitor

The McCain campaign repeats the success they had vetting Sarah Palin with Joe The Plumber. If there is a metaphor for McCain ‘08, thats it.

Tightening!

Obama now leads by 10 in Gallup’s most McCain-friendly measure of the likely voters this election.
McCain’s got us right where he wants us.

More McMess

John McCain seeks to duplicate the chaos of his election effort with his “transition” team.
Let’s see to it that this mess remains a theory.

Cave-In?

New poll (pdf) shows Obama +11 over McCain in Virginia…
ALSO: New polls show a 2-4 point lead for McCain… in Arizona! He’ll likely win it, but by comparison Sen. Obama has about a 25% lead in Illinois.

Denial

John McCain is now faced with a campaign consistently lagging behind Sen. Obama. While it is still possible for the polls to tighten as we get closer to election day, he hasn’t led in a single major poll since near the end of September. Even in the polls that have the most favorable turnout models [...]

There Is No Obama Inaugural Address Written

But thanks to sloppy work from the New York Times and the desperate McCain campaign, the idea has entered the public consciousness.

Can Someone Explain With A Straight Face…

why the heck McCain and Palin are campaigning in Iowa and Pennsylvania? Colorado, I understand. Florida, I understand. New Hampshire even makes sense. And certainly Ohio. But they’re spending their limited resources in states where poll after poll shows a double digit deficit.
Then again, almost 8 years ago George W. Bush was campaigning in California [...]

Clearly They’re Trying To Lose

The RNC has released a new web video. It is 12 minutes long. It is 12 minutes of Fred Thompson doing his “fake president” act telling us how horrible an Obama win would be.
Its the kind of situation that makes you wonder if someone paid them to take the fall.

Desperation Time For McCain

John McCain is losing this campaign. I don’t want to hear anybody pretending otherwise. The election is 12 days away and John McCain is behind Barack Obama both nationally and in the swing states.
McCain now chooses finally to find something wrong with George W. Bush. The McCain campaign would really like it if we collectively [...]

Kill The Anecdote

On both sides, in numerous forums, I’ve seen people - with mind numbing regularity - talk about how they’ve seen “X” signs in their neighborhoods and that’s so many more than they saw in 2004/2000 etc. It’s an anecdote, and an even worse measure for campaign strength than the already shaky measure of how many [...]

McCain’s Whining About Obama’s Fundraising Success

So, lemme get this straight. John McCain, the co-author of our campaign finance laws (something he never takes credit for in front of his rallies…) is now complaining because Sen. Obama has had historic success raising money for his campaign? Not only is it kind of ridiculous - Obama’s strategy is a direct outgrowth of [...]

Election Theft Watch: West Virginia

Voting machine keeps switching Obama votes to McCain votes. Does anyone have a single instance of a voting machine erring in favor of a Democrat? In all the years of this issue popping up, I’ve never seen one.

“The Real Virginia” Becomes An Anchor

The “real Virginia” crack is leading the local news here. Not good for McCain at all. It’s like the Clinton campaign’s refrain about which states did and didn’t count but far far worse. Virginia was already leaning Obama, this may lock it in.
WUSA Channel 9’s (the CBS affiliate) open to the 11PM news: “If you’re [...]

Bush Led Kerry At This Point In 2004

I don’t know why people writing about the election - especially conservatives - keep getting this wrong. Today it is Edward Luce writing in the Financial Times.
The RealClear Politics website’s average of polls, which gives Mr Obama a lead of 6.8 per cent over Mr McCain, offers a better guide to the situation. It compares [...]

Dept. Of Wishful Thinking

If Sen. Obama wins, the Republicans are sure to go in civil war mode. With the Democrats, the DLC wing of the party won the first few rounds and that resulted in losses in 2002 and contributed to Sen. Kerry’s loss in 2004. The grassroots (including the netroots) pushed back and that resulted in Dean [...]

Can We Do This? Really?

Every American election is hyped as the most important election ever. They all matter, though. The job has only been held by 42 men and each one of them has affected the lives of billions.

We’re in the middle of so much right now, all manner of crises - foreign and domestic. We need so much [...]

Leaking Like A Sieve, Running On Empty

Campaigns that aren’t winning usually leak information to the press. Campaigns divide, with one faction seeking to have an upper hand on the other by leaking something damaging to the media. We most recently saw this with Sen. Clinton’s campaign and now it’s John McCain.
Some McCain campaign officials are becoming concerned about the hostility that [...]

Impotent.

For the last few days, at a distance the McCain campaign has whipped up a frenzy of nativist sentiment against Barack Obama. They’ve accused him of being strange, not a supporter of America, and of course as a terrorist sympathizer. They’ve done it mostly through Sarah Palin’s forked tongue, but McCain also took a punch [...]

This One’s For The Base

A few weeks ago, when the unvetted Sarah Palin was announced as John McCain’s running mate, I said she was a “base pick”. Some of my readers on the right disagreed with me, arguing that Palin would appeal to independents, and even the McCain campaign seemed to believe that the intellectually uncurious Sarah Palin would [...]

Misremembered History (Bush Led Kerry In 2004 Polling)

In the last week or so, I’ve seen a repeated mantra on conservative blogs and forums as the poll numbers have shifted more towards Sen. Obama: Kerry led in the polls going into the 2004 election. Now, we all lived through that election and I was pretty damn sure Kerry was behind. I remember staring [...]

McCain Miscalculation

As his campaign slips into oblivion, John McCain has adopted the traditional Republican tactic of simply making stuff up, throwing it against the wall and praying to God it sticks and “turns the page” on the economic crisis created by Bush-McCain policies. But the thing is, McCain is on record attacking this very sort of [...]

The McCain Tax Begins To Make Waves

The McCain camp has explicitly said that they want to turn the page on the economic malaise created by Bush-McCain Republican economic policy. That’s not an insinuation - the campaign admitted it in the pages of the Washington Post! And like clockwork there’s Cruella Palin, screeching about ya know, dem radicals who ya know are [...]

McCain Backs Up The Dump Truck

Did anyone with even half of a brain not see this coming? You can put your hand down, Gov. Palin.
With just a month to go until Election Day, McCain’s team has decided that its emphasis on the senator’s biography as a war hero, experienced lawmaker and straight-talking maverick is insufficient to close a growing gap [...]

The Florida War

Even before the polls started moving in Sen. Obama’s direction in Florida, it was clear that like in most other states, the ground game is going to be strong (I expect to see good to great turnout in states like Utah that won’t stop a 20%+ McCain win in those states but adds to the [...]

Debate Prediction

Neither Palin nor Biden will make any big time gaffes or blunders. Biden will come off as likeable as he flashes his chompers while Palin will pull the “hockey mom” act that her supporters love so much. They’ll both push for their guys while essentially avoiding any head-on collisions. One of them could get up [...]

More McDrama?

McCain is now running around muttering that inaction is not an option, which leads me to believe we’re going to get another episode of him acting out. His poll numbers are even worse than before the last round of erratic behavior - so expect the worst.

McCain Collapse?

Well, at least in the Diaego/Hotline battleground polls…
Among registered voters surveyed in Colorado, Michigan, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Wisconsin and Nevada, Obama tops McCain 50 to 40%. Just a week ago, Obama led 45% to 42%.
Obama has moved up to 51% in Rasmussen’s daily tracking poll.

McCain Camp Looks For Palin Do-Over

Senator McCain is 25 years older than Sen. Obama, but they are the ones engaging in school yard tactics. Now they want a do-over for the introduction of Sarah Palin after McCain’s failed time out last week.
One brilliant idea is to put her on Rush Limbaugh’s show. But Limbaugh’s show is largely comprised of those [...]

More Sarah Palin Lies

Trade mission to Russia? There’s no evidence she went on any trade mission to Russia. Maybe she hollered to the Russian guy she can see from her porch.
Gov. Palin, Admiral Stockdale and Dan Quayle salute you for making them look good in retrospect.

Drama Queen Bounce?

In Galup’s tracking poll from the middle of McCain’s drama queen moment, Sen. Obama has improved by 2% while McCain dropped 1%. It’s now 48% to 45%.
More evidence of a bounce…

Trainwreck Watch

Conservative columnist Kathleen Parker calls for Sarah Palin to drop out because she’s clearly “out of her league”.
I could have told you that a few weeks ago. My guess is that in a few days we may see Palin as another McCain stunt that failed.

Something Wrong With John McCain’s Eye

So, I wasn’t the only one who noticed something weird with McCain’s left eye. What the heck is going on there?

52

The ABC/Washington Post poll has Sen. Obama ahead of McCain, 52-43. A nine point lead in a poll that two weeks ago had them 49-47 McCain. Neat.
* Sarah Palin’s unfavorables have increased by 10%
Over the past two weeks, the percentage of independents with favorable views of Palin dropped from 60 percent to 48 percent. Among [...]

McCain Campaign Manager Paid By Fannie Mae As Recent As Last Month

The McCain campaign makes the unusual step of being bought off in advance by having an inside man in McCain campaign manager Rick Davis.
One of the giant mortgage companies at the heart of the credit crisis paid $15,000 a month to a firm owned by Senator John McCain’s campaign manager from the end of 2005 [...]

McCain On Defense In Indiana

Now, they’ve got to spend money there due to a stronger than expected showing for Sen. Obama.
RELATED: Obama Dramatically Ramping Up Overall Ad Spending; Now Outgunning McCain

McCain Campaign Manager Rick Davis Paid By Fannie Mae To Lobby McCain

That’s right, John McCain’s campaign manager was paid $2 million by Fannie Mae to specifically lobby John McCain. They were trying to fend off regulation and I guess they wanted to curry favor with the self-described “deregulator”.
Then he hired him as his campaign manager.

Flail Watch

After his horrible week where America learned that John McCain would be useless in an economic crisis, he decided to try to attack Senator Obama today.
‘Whether it’s a reversal in war, or an economic emergency, he reacts as a politician and not as a leader, seeking an advantage for himself instead of a solution for [...]

McCain Pollster Betting On Race To Get Ahead?

That is sure as heck how it sounds. Then again this guy Ed Goeas was Giuliani’s pollster and said that Florida was where Giuliani’s campaign would rebound. If those of you at home check your scorecards, you’ll remember that Giuliani finished a dismal third in that contest.

Running Vs. History

The big takeaway I get from this poll about racial attitudes is that we’ve got a long road to go still for people to be dragged into the 21st century and leave their prejudices behind. I mean, the idea that there are still some people who just go, yep, blacks are boastful, lazy and shiftless [...]

John McCain: Like The Way The Banks Are Going? Lets Do It To Health Care!

Via Paul Krugman, comes this awesome bit of wisdom from MaverickTM in the current issue of Contingencies magazine.
Opening up the health insurance market to more vigorous nationwide competition, as we have done over the last decade in banking, would provide more choices of innovative products less burdened by the worst excesses of state-based regulation.
That’s right [...]

The Palin Effect In Florida

Among a group of undecided voters the pick of Sarah Palin has moved most (grudgingly) towards Sen. Obama. I also think that Palin’s close association with the fringe of the Christian right who want war in the Middle East to bring about the rapture isn’t helping among Jewish voters. That information, combined with this video [...]

Asleep At The Switch

John McCain said he would get rid of the FEC chairman to address the economy. It is the SEC that has oversight of the trading industry.

McCain: I’d Fire A Guy I Don’t Have The Power To Fire

McCain says he would fire the SEC chairman. Now, aside from the fact that this crisis in the markets goes beyond the actions of one person (ie. FEMA was incompetent not because of Brownie but because George Bush neglected the basic function of government), the President does not have the power to fire the SEC [...]

Sarah On The Stump

Ok, having a stump speech is one thing, but Sarah Palin is giving essentially the same speech she gave at the RNC convention still. Of course, the crowds keep yelling “we want Sarah” interrupting her. And that’s what the GOP crowds do want. The problem is John McCain is the candidate.
UPDATE: 9/18/08 campaign rally - [...]

Does John McCain Know Where Spain Is?

So, an interviewer asks John McCain about José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, the prime minister of Spain. Bizarrely, Mccain starts talking about Latin America.
I was not the biggest fan of geography in middle school, but I do remember this. Spain is in Europe (Spain is, in fact, a member of the European Union). Not Latin America.
Conservatives [...]

Convention Bounce Is Over

Gallup: 47% Obama 45% McCain. It’s worth noting that post-convention McCain never hit 50% as Obama did. All is apparently not lost. Heh.

“Carly will now disappear”

A few months ago I was incredulous that the McCain campaign had appointed as one of its top economic spokespersons Carly Fiorina, someone who is most infamous in the business and tech world for being a heck of a failure. It is sort of the political equivalent of hiring Ryan Leaf to be your starting [...]

“The Greatest Deregulator”

That’s what John McCain called himself a little over a year ago. But you should totally totally totally believe him when he promises today to bring regulatory oversight to the collapsing financial system.
Real believable.

Fundraising Pals Fact Check

Apparently battered by how out of touch he is on the economy, John McCain decided to go to the very old Republian playbook by attacking Sen. Obama for attending a fundraiser where Barbara Streisand will be singing. But then, that raises the question of who John McCain is raising funds with.
In Ohio, Sarah Palin is [...]

Karl Rove Says John McCain Is Lying In His Ads

This is a little like a crack dealer saying you ought to lay off the crack a little bit.

Il Palin

Think of Bush, change “President” to “Governor” and put him in Alaska and you’ve got the crony conservatism of Sarah Palin.

Conservatives Suddenly Forget What The Bush Doctrine Is

Perhaps they need John McCain to explain it to them, but this conservative whine in the wake of Sarah Palin’s flub during her interview with John Gibson that gave us what is now being called the “moose in the headlights” moment, is just ridiculous. Anyone paying attention to politics knows what the Bush doctrine of [...]

Phony Maverick McCain Picks A Lobbyist To Run His “Transition” Team

God willing he’ll have no need for it, but John McCain has put yet another lobbyist in control of his so-called “transition” team. Of course he’s got so many lobbyists already in his senior staff, what’s one more shrimp on the barbie?
Also, you’ll remember the mainstream media hammered Obama for doing as other candidates have [...]

John McCain Goes Beyond The Pale, Even For John McCain

McCain’s new ad twists and contorts the truth until there are only lies left. It says Obama supported sex ed over learning for children, when in fact the program Sen. Obama supported was one that would educate children on how to defend themselves versus child sex predators.
John McCain has no shame, but you knew that [...]

Outliers

So the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll shows a dead heat at 47 Obama 46 McCain, which is in line with polls from Rasmussen, Hotline, CNN, and ABC/Wapo. Only Gallup is showing a wider, five point margin in favor of McCain. Which means the Gallup poll is probably the same kind of outlier as the Newsweek [...]

Sarah Palin’s Personal Pork

When you set yourself up as the maverickest maverick of ethics, you better hope you are squeaky clean. Along with her lies about the bridge to nowhere, looks like Palin took money from Alaskans she didn’t need.

Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin has billed taxpayers for 312 nights spent in her own home during her first 19 [...]

The Fence!

At least in the primetime speeches anybody notice that the GOP seems to have forgotten all about the killer issue that was supposed to revive the party? That is, immigration? Or perhaps they decided the bleeding among hispanic voters was getting out of control. My guess is thats a genie they can’t put back in [...]

Obama Campaign Uses The “L” Word Again

John McCain is lying about his running mate’s advocacy for the bridge to nowhere. Wow, see Dems? It ain’t that hard to say someone is lying when they are, in fact, lying.

McCain Supporters/Campaign Pushing Phony Story About “Thrown Away” Flags

When you’ve got no record to run on, this is the kind of bull you pull.
Days before the anniversary of September 11, on the same morning that John McCain and Barack Obama released a joint statement pledging to avoid politics in light of the anniversary of the terrorist attacks, McCain’s campaign accused Democrats of throwing [...]

The McCain Campaign Is Delusional And The NY Times Is Helping

From a New York Times article on where the campaigns are competing comes this.
Some campaign officials hope that Ms. Palin, an Alaskan, can broaden the ticket’s appeal in the Northwest, possibly gaining traction in states like Oregon and Washington, as well as shore up Mr. McCain’s standing with social conservatives who had, up to now, [...]

The GOP’s Mistake In Attacking Community Organizing

The backlash keeps building and building. Because its an activity that leans left, the mainstream media is totally unaware of how pissed off people are. But then, who are involved in community organizing are pretty good at… organizing. Beware.
People do remember that Sen. Clinton became a major rallying point for the right, allowing them to [...]

A Base Pick

Back before I started this blog (eight