Pew Poll Shows GOP Disintegrating, Keep Talking Dick Cheney

11:50 am EST May 21st, 2009 | Republicans | 18 Comments

Whig watch

From 2002 to 2009, voters’ partisan identification has moved from virtual parity — 43 percent Republican and 43 percent Democratic at the height of George W. Bush’s popularity in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 — to a massive Democratic advantage today of 53 to 36, a 17 percentage point split, by far the largest difference in the past two decades.

“There is an enormous amount of material about the deterioration of the Republican Party in this survey,” Andy Kohut, who runs the Pew Research Center, told the Huffington Post. The GOP is currently 88 percent non-Hispanic white; it has grown steadily older, from an average of 45.5 years in 2000 to 48.3 years in 2009; it is increasingly dependent on self-identified white evangelicals (35 percent of today’s GOP, on Southerners (39 percent of today’s GOP), and on voters who describe themselves as conservative (66 percent of today’s Republican electorate). Those who espouse conservative views on the family, homosexuality and civil liberties — a population which was in the majority in 1987 — have fallen to the 50 percent level or below, the Pew survey found.

“The Republican Party is facing formidable demographic challenges,” Kohut wrote in a report describing the new Pew findings. “Its constituents are aging and do not reflect the growing ethnic and racial diversity of the general public. As was the case at the beginning of this decade, Republicans are predominantly non-Hispanic whites (88%). Among Democrats, the proportion of non-Hispanic whites has declined from 64% in 2000 to 56%, as Latinos and people from other racial backgrounds have joined the ranks of the Democrats.”

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18 Responses to “Pew Poll Shows GOP Disintegrating, Keep Talking Dick Cheney”

  1. SaveFarris says:

    Gallup Poll shows Democratics Disentegrating. Keep Spending, Barack.

  2. LOL. You mean the same Gallup poll that shows Obama with a 65% approval? LOL.

  3. C.S.Strowbridge says:

    Seriously, SaveFarris, don’t cherry pick data looking to back up your side, otherwise you will be very disappointed in reality.

  4. Amused Observer says:

    Polls are flexible and subject to manipulation. That being said he’s a litte bit of insight culled from the Rasmusson Reports. There are factoids for both sides to be sure. But here is an insightful little bit that reinforces the echo factor:

    Women remain more optimistic than men this week. While 41% of women say the nation is heading in the right direction, just 34% of men agree. Sixty-one percent of men say the country is heading down the wrong track, compared to 51% of women.

    Optimism among black voters jumped four points to 70% this week, which is over twice the number of white voters who say the nation is heading in the right direction.

    The number of Democrats who answered right direction slipped from 68% last week to 62% in the latest poll. Only 15% of Republicans agree, up from 13% a week ago, while unaffiliated voters showed no change this week at 31%.

  5. That being said he’s a litte bit of insight culled from the Rasmusson Reports.
    Stop right there.

  6. jr says:

    “your wish is my command”-Scott Rasmussen to Billo, Sean Hannity and Glenn Beck

  7. SpiderJ says:

    Forget the numbers, GOPologists. Do you have any response to the empirical data mentioned by Andy Kohut? Do you disagree that the Republican Party is getting increasingly defined by a white, upper-class, and aging group of evangelical Christian men?

    And do you honestly believe that the Party can survive, long-term, in that trend?

  8. william says:

    Yeah… keep spending, taxing, bailing, and pilaging. You’ll see who starts disintigrating. Dodd and Reid are the canaries in the coal mine.

  9. ed says:

    Yeah… keep spending, taxing

    I’ll take spending and taxing over spending and spending any day. That’s pretty much a no-brainer.

  10. ed says:

    But if the modern Republican Party disintegrates, who will bash Teh Fags? Who will carry on the important work of Richard Nixon, Lee Atwater, and Karl Rove? Who will send U.S. Troops into really stupid fucking wars? Who will justify stupid fucking wars with religious bumper stickers? Who will deny evolution and global warming?

  11. Buzz Killington says:

    Indeed, Gallup shows the democrat advantage drop from 50-39 to 45-45 in ~three weeks since April 20. So at *best* (for Dems) these results prove the polls fairly worthless.

  12. Duros62 says:

    Who will deny evolution and global warming?

    Bobby Jindal and Sarah Palin, silly.

  13. “William”, “spending, [and] taxing” is fiscally conservative.

    It’s the Republicans spending and spending, as “ed” notes, that’s the problem.

    To repeat:

    Republican President Reagan more than DOUBLED the US debt.

    Between Republicans Reagan and Bush 1 they more than QUADRUPLED the US debt.

    When it’s all added up Republican President Bush 2 also more than DOUBLED the US debt.

    Republican President Bush handed the incoming President a $1.3 trillion dollar deficit.

    When Republicans were in charge REPUBLICANS INCREASED THE SIZE OF GOVERNMENT even while reducing revenue.

    Republicans are NOT fiscally conservative and haven’t been for over 30+ years.

    Republicans are reckless spenders. Period.

    If Republicans voters ever figure out how badly Republicans have damaged America than the Republican Party will be finished.

  14. z_adura says:

    There is a fundamental reason that Democrats are gaining ground. There is a massive disconnect between the social conservatives and fiscal conservatives. As long as the social conservatives filled ballot boxes and had no power, fiscal conservatives could brook them. Now that they have come to define the party, I want nothing to do with the Republicans. I actually hope that social cons continue to drag the party into obscurity so that the Democratic party can split along a neo-liberal / liberal axis and we can leave bedroom issues to the bedroom.

  15. Sean D. Martin says:

    But if the modern Republican Party disintegrates, who will bash Teh Fags? Who will carry on the important work of Richard Nixon, Lee Atwater, and Karl Rove? Who will send U.S. Troops into really stupid fucking wars? Who will justify stupid fucking wars with religious bumper stickers? Who will deny evolution and global warming?

    Don’t worry. There will always be somebody.

    Alas.

  16. David in NYC says:

    Who will send U.S. Troops into really stupid fucking wars?

    Barrack Hussein Obama, that’s who. (Or, should anything happen to him, Joe Biden, Nancy Pelosi, and Robert Byrd, in that order.)

    Just ask the citizens of Afghanistan.

    Oceania has always been at war with Eastasia. War is what we do.

  17. Duros62 says:

    Republican President Reagan more than DOUBLED the US debt.
    Between Republicans Reagan and Bush 1 they more than QUADRUPLED the US debt.
    When it’s all added up Republican President Bush 2 also more than DOUBLED the US debt.
    Republican President Bush handed the incoming President a $1.3 trillion dollar deficit.

    And yet, the teabaggers are protesting against the guy who has only been in office for 120 days.

  18. Rosa says:

    regardless of if you trust the polls or not, i think the trends described in this post seem logically implied. Right now the party is leaderless: http://www.newsy.com/videos/gop_soul_search
    If the party wants to continue to speak for the socailly conservative right they need to branch out. If they try to inclue more minorities, specifically socially conservative African Americans and Hispanics they could rebrand their party without actually having to change their policies, which is all they want in the first place.