Look at the polls on realclearpolitics from the primaries. Obama had a lead in many polls, like NH, CALIFORNIA, while polls overestimated him in Pa and NY.

The Bradley Effect is real, and has been demonstrated in the primaries. It’s going to be a close race.

While I complain about the number of times these morons spout baseless opinions as if they were facts, it’s even funnier when they post evidence.

If you look hard enough, you can find one or two polls that showed Kerry ahead, however, the overall picture was clear. Kerry was behind and needed to play catch-up.

Similarly today, if you look hard enough, you can find one or two polls that shows McCain looking strong, or at least not looking as weak as previously. But the overall picture is still good for Obama.

From now until November the 4th, McCain needs to close the gap by 0.4% per day to have a shot at winning. And, it is likely that if neither party did anything for the final 2.5 weeks, McCain would close the gap by close to half of that. In elections undecideds who don’t like either choice tend to break for the underdog in the end, because then they can say, “Don’t blame me, I voted for the other guy.”

That doesn’t mean Obama has won and he can coast till the end. But Republicans who think McCain has an advantage are delusional.

In 2004 Sen. Kerry was up in some polls and down in some. I was one of those who thought he could close the deal. But the compiled data from that era shows us that Kerry was behind in most composites, a figure that was reflected in the electoral results.

The data we currently have shows Sen. Obama ahead by a similar or greater margin to President Bush in 2004. Does this mean he is a lock to win? Heck no, but let’s not pretend as if John McCain is ahead in this race.

And Dennis, I read Free Republic too.

nope, I didn’t think so

stop reading/watchin MSM and even cable news. It’s infotainment at best. Even the most red areas of W. Virginia are reporting more and more people voting early and voting dem.

If Joe (the Plumber or Sixpack) stick with MSM, they will not know or understand that they are voting away their best interest by voting for ANY republican.