Hugh Hewitt Indicator: Obama To Win

8:20 am EST October 6th, 2008 | News | 7 Comments

hugh hewittWe return to the favorite and most accurate indicator of the future on OliverWillis.com. As I said before, “My method is to predict the future by doing the exact opposite of what Hugh Hewitt says.”

About a month ago, Hewitt said that the Obama campaign was in a state of “accelerating collapse”. Since Hewitt made his statement, here has been the trajectory of the campaign in polls. Blue is Sen. Obama.

On the prediction market Intrade, here has been Obama’s price since Hewitt forecasted the collapse:

And here’s McCain’s price

That’s the latest proof to me that the Hewitt indicator works.

So today when Hewitt says “With One Month To Go: Why McCain Will Close and Win” what else can we think other than that Barack Obama will win this election? This is the same brand of prediction Hewitt made before the 2006 election, where he was so sure that there was no way Dems would take the House and the Senate. It was also the same brand of prediction he made earlier in the season where he stated without equivocation that John McCain’s campaign was over and that the subject of Hewitt’s hagiography, Mitt Romney, would be the Republican standard-bearer.

I have not found an predictor of the future that competes with the Hewitt Indicator. And it says Barack Obama will be our next president. Why? Becuase Hugh Hewitt says he will lose.

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7 Responses to “Hugh Hewitt Indicator: Obama To Win”

  1. Buffalopundit says:
    October 6, 2008 at 8:40 am

    Hewitt is a clown who should be thankful that Obama’s win will provide him with Limbaughesque material about America being “held hostage” and similar cretinalities for the next 4 – 8 years.

  2. buma says:
    October 6, 2008 at 12:06 pm

    This Hewitt guy’s prognostication success rate is uncanny. No doubt he will always have a spot on wingnut radio. The Rovebots have gone to the well once too often this election cycle and it appears that enough of the voting public no longer buys into the fearmongering. Sadly, it took years of conservative policy to get to this point where a critical mass of Americans have finally smelled the coffee.

  3. Syco says:
    October 6, 2008 at 12:53 pm

    So what happens if he is right?

  4. Kev says:
    October 6, 2008 at 5:29 pm

    My question is if we can find a way to tap into Hewitt’s “opposite” power by getting him to talk about other subjects, like “we’ll never get health care for all Americans,” or “Kevin Cleary from Lakewood, OH will never be a rich man who dates supermodels.”

  5. Hugh Hewitt Was/Is Peddling Book On How Sarah Palin Won The Election » Oliver Willis says:
    October 9, 2008 at 10:08 am

    [...] Based on our existing theory, this should be a red Drudge siren that Sen. Obama is going to win. [...]

  6. A Sneak Peek into Bizarro World: Hugh Hewitt Edition « Indistinct Union says:
    October 9, 2008 at 10:36 am

    [...] Sneak Peek into Bizarro World: Hugh Hewitt Edition Oliver Willis’ Hugh Hewitt Theory of Politics is proved right yet again it would appear. In short, the theory states, whatever Hugh Hewitt says [...]

  7. Hewitt Check | Oliver Willis says:
    October 24, 2008 at 9:15 am

    [...] 18 days ago, Hugh Hewitt said that the race was closing and it would lead to a McCain win. [...]