Comments on: Links for September 18th from 13:04 to 13:04 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/18/links-for-september-18th-from-1304-to-1304/ Like Kryptonite To Stupid Sat, 11 Feb 2012 06:30:02 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.1.4 By: Kevin http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/18/links-for-september-18th-from-1304-to-1304/#comment-115917 Kevin Thu, 18 Sep 2008 20:07:07 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/18/links-for-september-18th-from-1304-to-1304/#comment-115917 By small business does she mean the "little guys" who make between 5 and 6 million a year!? By small business does she mean the “little guys” who make between 5 and 6 million a year!?

]]> By: C.S.Strowbridge http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/18/links-for-september-18th-from-1304-to-1304/#comment-115907 C.S.Strowbridge Thu, 18 Sep 2008 18:22:12 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/18/links-for-september-18th-from-1304-to-1304/#comment-115907 On a side note, looking at the four daily tracking numbers, Obama is up by more than 3% on average. This is better than McCain's advantage at the height of his convention bounce. If these numbers hold, I would give Obama a 65% chance of winning the election. This takes into account odds of winning an election based solely on popular vote, as well as the odds of Obama actually being ahead with these poll numbers. We will have a better idea of the numbers once we get more state polls in place. On a side note, looking at the four daily tracking numbers, Obama is up by more than 3% on average. This is better than McCain’s advantage at the height of his convention bounce.

If these numbers hold, I would give Obama a 65% chance of winning the election. This takes into account odds of winning an election based solely on popular vote, as well as the odds of Obama actually being ahead with these poll numbers. We will have a better idea of the numbers once we get more state polls in place.

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