Comments on: Clearly This Is The End Of The World… Not http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/ Like Kryptonite To Stupid Mon, 23 Nov 2009 02:56:38 -0500 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.5 hourly 1 By: C.S.Strowbridge http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-114100 C.S.Strowbridge Tue, 09 Sep 2008 16:04:37 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-114100 "I’m saying people shouldn’t freak out over a bounce in the polling that was supposed to happen, but don’t pretend as if the race isn’t going to be tight." A bunch of state polls came out and McCain gained an average of 0.1% in the swing state. 0.1%. Obama needs to hit McCain in his Mavericks to end the fight, but I still like his chances come November. “I’m saying people shouldn’t freak out over a bounce in the polling that was supposed to happen, but don’t pretend as if the race isn’t going to be tight.”

A bunch of state polls came out and McCain gained an average of 0.1% in the swing state.

0.1%.

Obama needs to hit McCain in his Mavericks to end the fight, but I still like his chances come November.

]]> By: Oliver Willis http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113940 Oliver Willis Mon, 08 Sep 2008 22:10:36 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113940 <i>Are “they” polling folks w/ cell phones?</i> Yeah, that excuse never hunts with me. I heard it in 2000 and 2004 and it doesn't seem to make a difference in the polls, it didn't even matter in the Dem primaries/caucuses. I'm saying people shouldn't freak out over a bounce in the polling that was supposed to happen, but don't pretend as if the race isn't going to be tight. Are “they” polling folks w/ cell phones?
Yeah, that excuse never hunts with me. I heard it in 2000 and 2004 and it doesn’t seem to make a difference in the polls, it didn’t even matter in the Dem primaries/caucuses. I’m saying people shouldn’t freak out over a bounce in the polling that was supposed to happen, but don’t pretend as if the race isn’t going to be tight.

]]> By: SFC B http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113914 SFC B Mon, 08 Sep 2008 20:16:07 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113914 "Unfortunately, the answer is a clear and resounding 'yes they really are that stupid.'" Of course, referring to voters as "stupid" when they don't agree with you, isn't going to help either. “Unfortunately, the answer is a clear and resounding ‘yes they really are that stupid.’”

Of course, referring to voters as “stupid” when they don’t agree with you, isn’t going to help either.

]]> By: This Is What Is Supposed To Happen | Comments from Left Field http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113899 This Is What Is Supposed To Happen | Comments from Left Field Mon, 08 Sep 2008 19:22:50 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113899 [...] As Oliver Willis points out though, this is not the end of the world; it’s just a bounce. [...] [...] As Oliver Willis points out though, this is not the end of the world; it’s just a bounce. [...]

]]> By: Bijan C. Bayne http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113898 Bijan C. Bayne Mon, 08 Sep 2008 19:21:01 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113898 Are "they" polling folks w/ cell phones? I didn't think so. Are “they” polling folks w/ cell phones?

I didn’t think so.

]]> By: Duros Hussein 62 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113881 Duros Hussein 62 Mon, 08 Sep 2008 18:17:19 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113881 Thanks, Oliver. Thanks, Oliver.

]]> By: PTCruiser http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113844 PTCruiser Mon, 08 Sep 2008 16:18:39 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113844 <blockquote><i>I realize many liberals are scared silly that, despite all the realities running against the Republicans, they will somehow eke out a win in November for the White House. I don’t buy it. I trust Obama, who has run a smart, deft campaign for over a year and a half.</i><blockquote> Amen. I am so tired of liberals afflicted with the sky-is-falling syndrome.

I realize many liberals are scared silly that, despite all the realities running against the Republicans, they will somehow eke out a win in November for the White House. I don’t buy it. I trust Obama, who has run a smart, deft campaign for over a year and a half.

Amen. I am so tired of liberals afflicted with the sky-is-falling syndrome.

]]> By: Leroy Brown http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113836 Leroy Brown Mon, 08 Sep 2008 15:55:47 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113836 My concern is that one should never underestimate the power of momentum. Obama needs something, ANYTHING, that can get hm back on the front page. At the moment, its all McCain and Palin, rightly or wrongly. My hope (futile as it may be) is that Palin's first interview on Thursday will be gaff-tastic and get us some "how many houses?" lines. While the electoral map is encouraging, remember the onus is on Obama. All McCain has to do is play defense and win all of Bushes' states. Obama has to win Kerry's plus some extra. Given the tightness of the race, I'm nervous. My concern is that one should never underestimate the power of momentum. Obama needs something, ANYTHING, that can get hm back on the front page. At the moment, its all McCain and Palin, rightly or wrongly. My hope (futile as it may be) is that Palin’s first interview on Thursday will be gaff-tastic and get us some “how many houses?” lines.

While the electoral map is encouraging, remember the onus is on Obama. All McCain has to do is play defense and win all of Bushes’ states. Obama has to win Kerry’s plus some extra.

Given the tightness of the race, I’m nervous.

]]> By: anotherbozo http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113830 anotherbozo Mon, 08 Sep 2008 15:29:20 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113830 If any of you know voters who are infatuated with Palin, direct them to this link or, maybe better, print it out and distribute. It gives an up-close-and-personal look at their new princess, and forecasts the kind of President we stand to inherit should McSame expire in office: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/anne-kilkenny/about-sarah-palin_b_124528.html (living here in Manhattan (NY, not Kansas), I don't even KNOW of anyone tempted to vote for McCain. Closest state for volunteerism is PA) If any of you know voters who are infatuated with Palin, direct them to this link or, maybe better, print it out and distribute. It gives an up-close-and-personal look at their new princess, and forecasts the kind of President we stand to inherit should McSame expire in office:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/anne-kilkenny/about-sarah-palin_b_124528.html

(living here in Manhattan (NY, not Kansas), I don’t even KNOW of anyone tempted to vote for McCain. Closest state for volunteerism is PA)

]]> By: datadave http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113817 datadave Mon, 08 Sep 2008 12:32:22 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113817 This slight lead by McCain is a probably great motivation for Democrats to get off their duffs and get going campaigning. Obama is finally listening to a lot of us and emphasizing the Republican-built economy that is shafting most of us in exchange for unlimited profits for a few in the financial industry (unfortunately, "hedge funders" which are also in the Democrat as well as Republican camps). I fear McCain as his advisors like Phil Gramm want to continue the War on the Middle Class (otherwise known as the 'war on terror'). I don't think more money for Obama is needed...now it's feet on the pavement going door to door getting out the vote. And poll watchers are needed to protect the polls from being closed down or 'limited' by Republicans. Two advantages for Obama: Economic dysfunction with his solutions and greater voter activity. Don't think for a minute that this won't be a close election and Obama's got an up hill battle with Sara the gun girl playing well in 'battleground states such as Penn, Wisconsin, Minnesota and New Hampshire and above all Ohio....where goes Ohio, goes the election. The Republicans are fully aware of this and that's why Palin is a good choice for McCain. I am afraid Obama played it too safe with Biden. Another woman would have been good on his ticket. p.s. I don't think Hillary would have done any better. Republicans always have the advantage with the military on their side and big networks bending to their will. This slight lead by McCain is a probably great motivation for Democrats to get off their duffs and get going campaigning.

Obama is finally listening to a lot of us and emphasizing the Republican-built economy that is shafting most of us in exchange for unlimited profits for a few in the financial industry (unfortunately, “hedge funders” which are also in the Democrat as well as Republican camps). I fear McCain as his advisors like Phil Gramm want to continue the War on the Middle Class (otherwise known as the ‘war on terror’).

I don’t think more money for Obama is needed…now it’s feet on the pavement going door to door getting out the vote. And poll watchers are needed to protect the polls from being closed down or ‘limited’ by Republicans.

Two advantages for Obama: Economic dysfunction with his solutions and greater voter activity. Don’t think for a minute that this won’t be a close election and Obama’s got an up hill battle with Sara the gun girl playing well in ‘battleground states such as Penn, Wisconsin, Minnesota and New Hampshire and above all Ohio….where goes Ohio, goes the election. The Republicans are fully aware of this and that’s why Palin is a good choice for McCain. I am afraid Obama played it too safe with Biden. Another woman would have been good on his ticket.

p.s. I don’t think Hillary would have done any better. Republicans always have the advantage with the military on their side and big networks bending to their will.

]]> By: SaveFarris http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113815 SaveFarris Mon, 08 Sep 2008 12:27:46 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113815 <i>I’m not sure if you’re being clever or you don’t get the joke.</i> It's been a <b><i>LOOOOOONG</b></i> week and I'm clearly off my game. I'll try and do better next time. I’m not sure if you’re being clever or you don’t get the joke.

It’s been a LOOOOOONG week and I’m clearly off my game. I’ll try and do better next time.

]]> By: Mark H. http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113806 Mark H. Mon, 08 Sep 2008 09:01:40 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113806 I'm not panicking yet, but getting damn close. McCain has a 10% lead in the latest USA Today/Gallup poll as cited above. That's a 17% or 13% change since their most recent survey depending on which poll you use. That is way beyond any anticipated convention bounce. There is obviously something else going on here. McCain shattered the 50% threshold and now stands at 54%. This thing may not have stabilized yet and could tilt even further in the direction of McCain/Palin before the dust settles. I seriously doubt the convention energized many people, especially independents. The only logical explanation is McCain's selection of Sarah Palin. I am truly stunned that millions of voters are deciding to now support the McCain after his selection of the most unqualified VP running mate in modern history. Are people really that stupid? Unfortunately, the answer is a clear and resounding "yes they really are that stupid." Obama has his work cut out for him. I don't really see a "game-changer" before election day. Expectations are already so low for McCain and Palin in the debates that they are almost guaranteed to exceed these artificially low expectations. It is troubling to see Obama falling behind in a year where he should be absolutely clobbering McCain. If we can't win this year, then I'm not sure when another Democrat will occupy the White House. Although I was very upset with Hillary's behavior during the primary, Obama has got to be wondering if he blew the VP choice. I think an Obama/Clinton ticket would have been absolutely unbeatable. I hope this motivates Barrack to take the gloves off and start getting aggressive. I still have some hope left, but the clock is ticking.. http://crazytruthdaily.blogspot.com http://punkednewsdaily.blogspot.com I’m not panicking yet, but getting damn close. McCain has a 10% lead in the latest USA Today/Gallup poll as cited above. That’s a 17% or 13% change since their most recent survey depending on which poll you use. That is way beyond any anticipated convention bounce. There is obviously something else going on here. McCain shattered the 50% threshold and now stands at 54%. This thing may not have stabilized yet and could tilt even further in the direction of McCain/Palin before the dust settles.

I seriously doubt the convention energized many people, especially independents. The only logical explanation is McCain’s selection of Sarah Palin. I am truly stunned that millions of voters are deciding to now support the McCain after his selection of the most unqualified VP running mate in modern history. Are people really that stupid? Unfortunately, the answer is a clear and resounding “yes they really are that stupid.”

Obama has his work cut out for him. I don’t really see a “game-changer” before election day. Expectations are already so low for McCain and Palin in the debates that they are almost guaranteed to exceed these artificially low expectations. It is troubling to see Obama falling behind in a year where he should be absolutely clobbering McCain. If we can’t win this year, then I’m not sure when another Democrat will occupy the White House. Although I was very upset with Hillary’s behavior during the primary, Obama has got to be wondering if he blew the VP choice. I think an Obama/Clinton ticket would have been absolutely unbeatable. I hope this motivates Barrack to take the gloves off and start getting aggressive. I still have some hope left, but the clock is ticking..

http://crazytruthdaily.blogspot.com
http://punkednewsdaily.blogspot.com

]]> By: Vanessa http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113796 Vanessa Mon, 08 Sep 2008 06:02:47 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113796 P.S. Obama supporters should send the following voter registration link to everyone on their mailing lists https://www.voteforchange.com/ P.S. Obama supporters should send the following voter registration link to everyone on their mailing lists

https://www.voteforchange.com/

]]> By: Vanessa http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113795 Vanessa Mon, 08 Sep 2008 06:00:05 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113795 <i>Nobody’s going to stop Obama. If the Clintons couldn’t do it, McCain sure can’t.</i> I'm in agreement with this statement and, as always, I'm volunteering for the campaign, making phone calls and registering voters. Obama/Biden 08 Nobody’s going to stop Obama. If the Clintons couldn’t do it, McCain sure can’t.

I’m in agreement with this statement and, as always, I’m volunteering for the campaign, making phone calls and registering voters.

Obama/Biden 08

]]> By: Dennis http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113788 Dennis Mon, 08 Sep 2008 05:08:22 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113788 <a href="http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/2008-09-07-poll_N.htm" rel="nofollow">USA Today Poll:</a><b> Convention lifts McCain over Obama</b> <i>The Republican National Convention has given John McCain and his party a significant boost, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll taken over the weekend shows, as running m</i>ate Sarah Palin helps close an "enthusiasm gap" that has dogged the GOP all year. <i>McCain leads Democrat Barack Obama by 50%-46% among registered voters, the Republican's biggest advantage since January and a turnaround from the USA TODAY poll taken just before the convention opened in St. Paul. Then, he lagged by 7 percentage points.</i> <i>In the new poll, taken Friday through Sunday, <b>McCain leads Obama by 54%-44%</b> among those seen as most likely to vote. The survey of 1,022 adults, including 959 registered voters, has a margin of error of /— 3 points for both samples.</i> His community organizing shouldn't be made fun of. He considered joining the military back in 1980 (uh huhh). He finally admits the Surge was extremely successful. And he's now <a>resorting back to the race card</a> to stop the bleeding his internals surely must be flashing at him in panic mode. USA Today Poll: Convention lifts McCain over Obama

The Republican National Convention has given John McCain and his party a significant boost, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll taken over the weekend shows, as running mate Sarah Palin helps close an “enthusiasm gap” that has dogged the GOP all year.
McCain leads Democrat Barack Obama by 50%-46% among registered voters, the Republican’s biggest advantage since January and a turnaround from the USA TODAY poll taken just before the convention opened in St. Paul. Then, he lagged by 7 percentage points.
In the new poll, taken Friday through Sunday, McCain leads Obama by 54%-44% among those seen as most likely to vote. The survey of 1,022 adults, including 959 registered voters, has a margin of error of /— 3 points for both samples.

His community organizing shouldn’t be made fun of. He considered joining the military back in 1980 (uh huhh). He finally admits the Surge was extremely successful. And he’s now resorting back to the race card to stop the bleeding his internals surely must be flashing at him in panic mode.

]]> By: Edgewater Joe http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113785 Edgewater Joe Mon, 08 Sep 2008 04:44:05 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113785 I'm not worried about the polls (especially since McCain has a HUGE series of hills to climb on the electoral map); what I am worried about and am really kind of fed up with are the whiny-ass titty babies on OUR side. I'm talking especially about the bloggers on Hullaballoo and Firedoglake, who I normally love but who seem to think that if every Obama/Biden surrogate (not to mention Obama and Biden themselves) aren't screaming "MCCAIN AND PALIN WILL KILL YOU, YOU A-HOLES! VOTE FOR OBAMA!!!" at the top of their lungs close enough to swing voters to feel their spittle when they scream, that they're doomed to losing. And it's barely the first week of September. I’m not worried about the polls (especially since McCain has a HUGE series of hills to climb on the electoral map); what I am worried about and am really kind of fed up with are the whiny-ass titty babies on OUR side. I’m talking especially about the bloggers on Hullaballoo and Firedoglake, who I normally love but who seem to think that if every Obama/Biden surrogate (not to mention Obama and Biden themselves) aren’t screaming “MCCAIN AND PALIN WILL KILL YOU, YOU A-HOLES! VOTE FOR OBAMA!!!” at the top of their lungs close enough to swing voters to feel their spittle when they scream, that they’re doomed to losing.

And it’s barely the first week of September.

]]> By: Oliver Willis http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113781 Oliver Willis Mon, 08 Sep 2008 04:05:37 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113781 <i>clearly, this poll is good news for Barack</i> I'm not sure if you're being clever or you don't get the joke. See, we on the left don't think bad news for Obama is good news for him. But the media and the right thinks every bit of bad news for McCain is great news for him. clearly, this poll is good news for Barack
I’m not sure if you’re being clever or you don’t get the joke. See, we on the left don’t think bad news for Obama is good news for him. But the media and the right thinks every bit of bad news for McCain is great news for him.

]]> By: Max Udargo http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113779 Max Udargo Mon, 08 Sep 2008 03:48:47 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113779 I'm so glad to see somebody say this. At this point, can't we give the Obama campaign a little credit and not assume the wheels are coming off because the Republicans got a totally predictable bounce out of their convention? Nobody's going to stop Obama. If the Clintons couldn't do it, McCain sure can't. Even with the help of a squeaky-voiced hockey-mom. Even if she's real, real purty. Look at the electoral map at http://electoral-vote.com./evp2008/Pres/Maps/Sep07.html. In 2004, on September 7, Bush was ahead by 38 electoral votes. He would eventually win by 34. Today, Obama is ahead by 77 votes, and the states in his corner are leaning more strongly toward him than those that were leaning toward Kerry in 2004. I'm not worried. I'm not complacent and I'm not cocky, but I'm not going to let the traditional media, with its vested interest in marketing every election as a "nail-biter," or the right-wing propaganda machine, with its lies and disdain for reality, disconcert me. History is on our side, the American people have had enough, the Reagan revolution is over, and Barack Hussein Obama will be our next president. I’m so glad to see somebody say this. At this point, can’t we give the Obama campaign a little credit and not assume the wheels are coming off because the Republicans got a totally predictable bounce out of their convention? Nobody’s going to stop Obama. If the Clintons couldn’t do it, McCain sure can’t. Even with the help of a squeaky-voiced hockey-mom. Even if she’s real, real purty.

Look at the electoral map at http://electoral-vote.com./evp2008/Pres/Maps/Sep07.html. In 2004, on September 7, Bush was ahead by 38 electoral votes. He would eventually win by 34. Today, Obama is ahead by 77 votes, and the states in his corner are leaning more strongly toward him than those that were leaning toward Kerry in 2004.

I’m not worried. I’m not complacent and I’m not cocky, but I’m not going to let the traditional media, with its vested interest in marketing every election as a “nail-biter,” or the right-wing propaganda machine, with its lies and disdain for reality, disconcert me. History is on our side, the American people have had enough, the Reagan revolution is over, and Barack Hussein Obama will be our next president.

]]> By: SaveFarris http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113776 SaveFarris Mon, 08 Sep 2008 03:23:24 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113776 clearly, this poll is good news for Barack. Here's where I pretend to be a multi-million dollar pundit by saying "the debates will be key". Oh, and we FINALLY got power back... clearly, this poll is good news for Barack. Here’s where I pretend to be a multi-million dollar pundit by saying “the debates will be key”.

Oh, and we FINALLY got power back…

]]> By: schmi http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113774 schmi Mon, 08 Sep 2008 03:11:56 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/09/07/clearly-this-is-the-end-of-the-world-not/#comment-113774 I have to respectfully disagree with Mr. Powell. This isn't McCain's race to lose. This cycle has largely been a referendum on Obama. Right now there is still the post-Palin buzz, which will eventually turn into a hangover once, finally, some questions are pressed. I agree with Oliver. Obama has run a terrific campaign to this point, and they have a plan. I don't understand the collective amnesia that sets in about polls. Didn't we go through this in the primaries? We have to look at the state by states, and I really think this whole cell phone aspect of polls does suppress Obama's numbers. That, and I firmly believe minorities will come out in record numbers. Everything's gonna be alright. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s7K0Dp2M2fE http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=65I0HNvTDH4 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K6RNjSdZKxA I have to respectfully disagree with Mr. Powell. This isn’t McCain’s race to lose. This cycle has largely been a referendum on Obama. Right now there is still the post-Palin buzz, which will eventually turn into a hangover once, finally, some questions are pressed. I agree with Oliver. Obama has run a terrific campaign to this point, and they have a plan. I don’t understand the collective amnesia that sets in about polls. Didn’t we go through this in the primaries? We have to look at the state by states, and I really think this whole cell phone aspect of polls does suppress Obama’s numbers. That, and I firmly believe minorities will come out in record numbers. Everything’s gonna be alright.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s7K0Dp2M2fE

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=65I0HNvTDH4

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K6RNjSdZKxA

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