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Latest On The Black Vote

From today’s LA Times poll

Go Tell Mama I'm Voting for Obama

African Americans would vote overwhelmingly for Obama, the first black candidate with a realistic chance of becoming president. In the poll, he carried 79% of African Americans, with 3% supporting McCain.

In 2004, Bush got 11% of the black vote, which is likely the highest a Republican will receive for the next century. My guess is that the best McCain will be able to muster is 5%. And that might be mighty generous because within the black vote there will be a ton of people who are new voters and especially voters who have just not turned up before. Some of them would have been motivated already by the prospect of a post-Bush post-Katrina presidency, but the vast majority of them are going to want to be part of the history – which the media and punditry have paid lip service to – but I simply cannot communicate with words to you how big a deal this is.

I can only use my own family as a barometer and like most normal people they rarely talk politics. Ever since Obama got in the race, and especially after Iowa, it constantly comes up. And this is from my grandparent’s generation, my mom’s and my own. I’m pretty sure the same thing is going on in black families from coast to coast now. John Kerry, Al Gore, Bill Clinton, were all great guys and black Americans were glad to vote for them (I sure voted for all three) but it just ain’t the same. To paraphrase an exchange I’ve had several times with a friend of mine (who is white):

Friend: Dude, can you imagine?
Me: I know.
Friend: The president’s name will be Barack Obama?
Me: I know.
Friend: And he’s black.
Me: I KNOW.

And then I get a crazed smile.

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12 Responses to “Latest On The Black Vote”

  1. Vanessa says:

    “And then I get a crazed smile.”

    So do I.

  2. Steve LaBonne says:

    I feel like Michelle. I’m finally proud of my country. It’s been far too long since I was last able to feel that way.

  3. Cali Tejano says:

    Me too. I don’t think McCain, the GOP or the pundits on TV are going to know what hit them when the results are announced on November 4th.

  4. Duros62 says:

    This is huge.

    He’s already healing.

    LAGOS (Reuters) – Rebels who have stepped up attacks on Nigeria’s oil industry in the last month said on Sunday they were considering a ceasefire appeal by U.S. presidential hopeful Barack Obama.

    The Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND) has launched five attacks on oil facilities in the Niger Delta since it resumed a campaign of violence in April, forcing Royal Dutch Shell to shut more than 164,000 barrels of oil per day (bpd).

    “The MEND command is seriously considering a temporary ceasefire appeal by Senator Barack Obama. Obama is someone we respect and hold in high esteem,” the militant group said in an e-mailed statement.

  5. SpiderJ says:

    “The MEND command is seriously considering a temporary ceasefire appeal by Senator Barack Obama. Obama is someone we respect and hold in high esteem.”

    The Clinton campaign was quick to point out that militant Nigerians are not an important voting bloc, and that she is able to draw a broader base of people who could care less what happens in Africa.

  6. SpiderJ says:

    “couldn’t” care less.

    One of my major language pet peeves and I fall right into it. Yeesh.

  7. Duros62 says:

    Sadly, as a comment on Huffpo says, it will probably play out like this;

    From DIGG.com

    Real story: Obama’s international diplomacy skills may bring ceasefire to African region, and maintain oil production.

    MSM headline: “African militants hold Obama in high esteem.”

    TV news talking point: “Do we really want a President who is respected by terrorists and militants?” [next to photo of Obama in traditional African clothing]

    Clinton: “Obama is weak because he talks to our enemies, when I am strong because I threaten to obliterate them with nuclear bombs.”

    Voter: “I am voting for Clinton because I heard on the news that how Obama is closely aligned with African militants. Also I think Hillary is a fighter.”

    I hate the media.

  8. Sean D. Martin says:

    You know how the Rethuglicans will treat this. He’s the favored of Hamas and now MEND. Obama: Teh terrorists want him to win.

    (The Rupugnatcans would prefer, of course, that the fighting continue. They like it when people die.)

  9. Duros62 says:

    They like it when people die.)

    Cue the good Pastor Parsley:

    “We get off on warfare!”

  10. North of 49 says:

    “…crazed smile.” Amen to that, Oliver.

    Here in Canada, especially in young multicultural Canada, but also in large parts of older WASP Canada, there’s a fascination with Obama and this election that goes something like this: “Are they really going to do it? (Elect the first black POTUS). Is it really going to happen?” (This in a wondering, hopeful way, not an OMG-the-sky-will-fall way.)

    I have no doubt that large parts of the rest of the world are feeling exactly the same anticipation… — and hope. A little fear, too, not that it will happen, but that somehow, memories of 1968, it won’t. There is figurative nail-biting going on all around the planet as we wait to see how this will all play out.

    /gloomy

    On a lighter note, did you know that Canada’s Commander-in-Chief Michaelle Jean is an immigrant black woman who speaks French? In fact she’s visiting France right now, and Centre Presse said “She has the charisma of a Barack Obama and the charm of Halle Berry.” So feathers in caps all ’round, eh?

    OT – what, no preview? Curse it, I hate that.

  11. Ann Brock says:

    President of The United States of America Barack Obama sounds good too me.

  12. old white guy says:

    And he is from Illinois. That is just righteous.