Comments on: The Story Of The Campaign http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/05/06/the-story-of-the-campaign/ Like Kryptonite To Stupid Mon, 23 Nov 2009 01:31:35 -0500 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.5 hourly 1 By: The Reality-Based Dave http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/05/06/the-story-of-the-campaign/#comment-93848 The Reality-Based Dave Wed, 07 May 2008 20:39:28 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2008/05/06/the-story-of-the-campaign/#comment-93848 She lost the black vote because they know what a pandering conservative republican sounds like. Like any republican, when she tries to make nice with the black community, she's not really speaking to them. She's trying to convince the white suburbanites that she actually cares for people. She lost the black vote because they know what a pandering conservative republican sounds like. Like any republican, when she tries to make nice with the black community, she’s not really speaking to them. She’s trying to convince the white suburbanites that she actually cares for people.

]]> By: KXB http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/05/06/the-story-of-the-campaign/#comment-93750 KXB Wed, 07 May 2008 04:07:02 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2008/05/06/the-story-of-the-campaign/#comment-93750 She lost the black vote, the college-educated vote, Obama pulls even with white men, and Obama owns the youth vote. Obama is unlikely to make inroads with older voters, so he has to now aim towards married women in the suburbs. His best bet of is the Rocky Mountain states. With the exception of Virginia and maybe Florida, I don't see much hope for him in the South. She lost the black vote, the college-educated vote, Obama pulls even with white men, and Obama owns the youth vote. Obama is unlikely to make inroads with older voters, so he has to now aim towards married women in the suburbs. His best bet of is the Rocky Mountain states. With the exception of Virginia and maybe Florida, I don’t see much hope for him in the South.

]]> By: Cali Tejano http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/05/06/the-story-of-the-campaign/#comment-93747 Cali Tejano Wed, 07 May 2008 03:46:49 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2008/05/06/the-story-of-the-campaign/#comment-93747 Taylor Marsh's blog called Indiana for Clinton three hours ago. And we're still waiting for Lake County results to come in. Hillary didn't just lose the black vote. She lost the vote of most sane people as well. The only people left in her voting base traditionally vote Republican, so it's no loss if Obama can't court them. They're going to go with McCain anyway. Great win by Obama tonight. God willing, there might be two of them when all is said and done. Taylor Marsh’s blog called Indiana for Clinton three hours ago. And we’re still waiting for Lake County results to come in.

Hillary didn’t just lose the black vote. She lost the vote of most sane people as well. The only people left in her voting base traditionally vote Republican, so it’s no loss if Obama can’t court them. They’re going to go with McCain anyway.

Great win by Obama tonight. God willing, there might be two of them when all is said and done.

]]> By: natthedem http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/05/06/the-story-of-the-campaign/#comment-93745 natthedem Wed, 07 May 2008 03:34:18 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2008/05/06/the-story-of-the-campaign/#comment-93745 Matthew Yglesias pointed out that George Allen got 16 percent of the African-American vote in 2006. Matthew Yglesias pointed out that George Allen got 16 percent of the African-American vote in 2006.

]]> By: somejackass http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/05/06/the-story-of-the-campaign/#comment-93741 somejackass Wed, 07 May 2008 03:01:01 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2008/05/06/the-story-of-the-campaign/#comment-93741 She does have Indiana, but just barely. Think about it from a game theory perspective, from her point of view. The cost of her not declaring victory is major. The headlines tomorrow are that Obama has sealed the deal. The cost of her getting it wrong is minimal - if she lost Indiana, she has to bow out anyway. Of course, she'll probably have to anyway, but her best chance was to declare victory, pray for it, and pray for some other miracles. She does have Indiana, but just barely. Think about it from a game theory perspective, from her point of view. The cost of her not declaring victory is major. The headlines tomorrow are that Obama has sealed the deal. The cost of her getting it wrong is minimal – if she lost Indiana, she has to bow out anyway. Of course, she’ll probably have to anyway, but her best chance was to declare victory, pray for it, and pray for some other miracles.

]]> By: durablend http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/05/06/the-story-of-the-campaign/#comment-93740 durablend Wed, 07 May 2008 02:43:50 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2008/05/06/the-story-of-the-campaign/#comment-93740 Hillary just declared victory in Indiana! OMFG...and nobody's called it yet (still too close) Hillary just declared victory in Indiana!

OMFG…and nobody’s called it yet (still too close)

]]> By: somejackass http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/05/06/the-story-of-the-campaign/#comment-93737 somejackass Wed, 07 May 2008 02:30:02 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2008/05/06/the-story-of-the-campaign/#comment-93737 totally off-topic but since gary/lake county are being delayed: indianapolis: 860454 people, 24% black, 177096 turnout (20%), 2to1 obama (60k difference) gary (lake county): 484564 people, 25% black, in chicago market, expect a ~33k pickup for obama... currently there is a 40k difference. in the statewide vote. expectation: less than 1% margin for clinton. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#IN totally off-topic but since gary/lake county are being delayed:

indianapolis: 860454 people, 24% black, 177096 turnout (20%), 2to1 obama (60k difference)

gary (lake county): 484564 people, 25% black, in chicago market, expect a ~33k pickup for obama… currently there is a 40k difference. in the statewide vote. expectation: less than 1% margin for clinton.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#IN

]]> By: Meander http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/05/06/the-story-of-the-campaign/#comment-93733 Meander Wed, 07 May 2008 01:20:41 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2008/05/06/the-story-of-the-campaign/#comment-93733 Looks (to me) like Hillary lost with <a href="http://meander61.blogspot.com/2008/05/lost-at-start.html" rel="nofollow">black voters at the start...</a> Looks (to me) like Hillary lost with black voters at the start…

]]> By: Calvin Jones and the 13th Apostle http://www.oliverwillis.com/2008/05/06/the-story-of-the-campaign/#comment-93730 Calvin Jones and the 13th Apostle Wed, 07 May 2008 00:53:02 +0000 http://www.oliverwillis.com/index.php/2008/05/06/the-story-of-the-campaign/#comment-93730 According to people at the Great Orange Satan, Begala just answered your question. According to people at the Great Orange Satan, Begala just answered your question.

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