McCain’s Huckabee/Paul Problem

7:01 pm EST April 23rd, 2008 | News | 5 Comments

He’s the nominee, but with the religious cons and the libertarian cons he doesn’t seem to have closed the deal.

Mr. McCain won every county in Pennsylvania in the Republican primary Tuesday — yes, the Republicans had a nominating contest there, too — but former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (who dropped out of the race in March) and Representative Ron Paul of Texas did surprisingly well in some of its most conservative counties.

Overall, according to The Associated Press’s count, Mr. Paul took 15.9 percent in the Pennsylvania G.O.P. primary, with 11.3 percent of Republicans voting for Mr. Huckabee.

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5 Responses to “McCain’s Huckabee/Paul Problem”

  1. C.S.Strowbridge says:
    April 23, 2008 at 9:15 pm

    One in four coming out to vote for Not McCain is a bad sign. Even if that works out to one in forty in the general election, that still means McCain loses 1 percentage point in the polls. A viable alternative, like Ron Paul, could result in 4 or 5 percentage points leaving McCain, which would make his chances at the White House nearly zero.

  2. Bozzy says:
    April 23, 2008 at 9:57 pm

    Yeah that’s PA…where 25% of their voters are racist according to the exit polls.

    “About one in five Pennsylvania voters said the race of the candidates was among the top factors in deciding how to vote, according to exit polls, and white voters who cited race supported Clinton over Obama by a 3-to-1 margin.”

    http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap_campaignplus/20080423/ap_ca/on_deadline_pennsylvania

  3. merl says:
    April 24, 2008 at 3:09 am

    Damn, that’s almost as bad as losing to a dead man.

  4. Calvin Jones and the 13th Apostle says:
    April 24, 2008 at 7:37 am

    I think you are making a mountain of of a molehill. It is a primary and Republicans didn’t even have a reason to show up. So the only ones that would show up are people with nothing else better to do and spoilers.

  5. C.S.Strowbridge says:
    April 26, 2008 at 5:07 am

    “I think you are making a mountain of of a molehill.”

    If four or five percent of regular Republican voters refuse to vote for McCain, he can’t win the White House. End of story.

    If one or two percent of regular Republican voters refuse to vote for McCain, his chances of winning are cut in half.

    Molehills matter when the margins are this close.