Not Karl Rove’s Math

2:36 pm EST March 4th, 2008 | News | 3 Comments

Jonathan Alter goes through a scenario that has Clinton winning vs. Obama for the next 16 contests by double digits and this is the end result:

So no matter how you cut it, Obama will almost certainly end the primaries with a pledged-delegate lead, courtesy of all those landslides in February. Hillary would then have to convince the uncommitted superdelegates to reverse the will of the people. Even coming off a big Hillary winning streak, few if any superdelegates will be inclined to do so. For politicians to upend what the voters have decided might be a tad, well, suicidal.

After tonight, the Democratic party has to seriously look at things and decide if this thing is going to last forever and take down the party with it.

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3 Responses to “Not Karl Rove’s Math”

  1. Rex Mundane says:
    March 4, 2008 at 3:45 pm

    Hate to say but Hillary’s probably going to be in this for the forseeable eternity. Congressional Dems are nothing if not suicidal these days at any rate, given in particular how willing they are to cave into the Telecom Immunity bullshit that Bush & co. are pushing lately. Greenwald (http://www.salon.com/opinion/greenwald/2008/03/03/democrats/) points out how the forthcoming capitulation is looking to be the most self-destructive thing they could possibly do, and why wouldn’t they?

  2. Jay Tea says:
    March 4, 2008 at 4:45 pm

    Speaking of Karl Rove… I hear that 60 Minutes story on him that you touted so strongly is falling apart. It seems that nobody cited in it is interested in backing up the primary accusation.

    Any comments, Oliver?

    J.

  3. Oliver Willis says:
    March 4, 2008 at 4:58 pm

    If by “falling apart” you mean the notoriously wrong Powerline blogged on it, then I put as much stock in it as the Schiavo memo they swore Democrats wrote.