Soon This Will End

8:24 pm EST March 3rd, 2008 | News | 1 Comment

Intriguing Daily Kos diary theorizing that Sen. Obama has over-performed the polls by an average of 8% where Sen. Clinton has more or less kept her percentage.

Tomorrow this won’t matter.

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One Response to “Soon This Will End”

  1. Wellstone says:
    March 3, 2008 at 10:02 pm

    Most analysts attribute Obama’s “over-performance” to a flawed turnout model. He simply has inspired more people to turn out and vote in primaries, and a lot of them have been disaffected Republicans and independents in states with open primaries and caucuses.

    When you look at strictly Democratic voters, the picture changes.

    Then Senator Clinton holds a slight advantage or is even-steven.

    Interesting question: How much of Obama’s turnout in the primaries will still turn out for Obama in a General? No one seems able to answer that one, especially when you factor in the anecdotal evidence that many votes were cast anti-Hillary rather than pro-Obama.