Comments on: Texas And Ohio Prediction

By: somejackass

somejackass — Thu, 21 Feb 2008 07:17:40 +0000

Wow, look at the markets:

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Maps/Feb20.html

80/20 Obama,from 40/60 only a few weeks ago. That’s what I call momentum.

By: duros62

duros62 — Wed, 20 Feb 2008 23:04:44 +0000

show me the inside of Cheney’s secret bunker

I can’t wait for the next VP to move in. Hopefully, some guided tours with Keith Olberman will be in order.

By: Enlightened Liberal

Enlightened Liberal — Wed, 20 Feb 2008 21:09:02 +0000

In the end, as the public gets to know Obama (and McCain) it will be a landslide for Obama. I would be surprised if John Keat- er I mean McCain gets 40% of the vote.

By: Quaker in a Basement

Quaker in a Basement — Wed, 20 Feb 2008 20:49:16 +0000

Whoever wins: just show me the inside of Cheney’s secret bunker and I’m yours for the duration. Deal?

By: C.S.Strowbridge

C.S.Strowbridge — Wed, 20 Feb 2008 20:21:28 +0000

Thanks, duros62.

8 points and a week old… I have to give Obama the edge here. Not a big edge, but an edge.

On a side note. According to Rasmussen… The democrats are ahead in enough states to give them 284 EC votes, and there are 38 tossups.

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_electoral_college_update

I have slightly different numbers giving Obama a clear advantage (outside the margin of error) in enough states to win 259 EC votes. Also, of the top ten most competitive states nine of them were won by the Republicans last time so there’s huge number of possible pickups. (Only Conn. is a possible Republican grab, but that’s based on a poll that is months old.)

By: duros62

duros62 — Wed, 20 Feb 2008 17:37:56 +0000

The only polling for RI is stale. Brown University had Clinton up by 8.
But it’s over a week old.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ri/rhode_island_democratic_primary-544.html

By: midderpidge

midderpidge — Wed, 20 Feb 2008 17:25:30 +0000

I disagree, if a democrat wins the election, start playing the expectations game. Hey! The outgoing Bush staff erased everything! Wow, it’s worse than we thought. On a related note: 19%

By: Quaker in a Basement

Quaker in a Basement — Wed, 20 Feb 2008 17:16:17 +0000

Here’s my prediction:

We’re going to get to do this all over again in 2012.

Why?

If McCain wins, he’ll be 76 (or is it 77?) when the next election rolls around.

If Obama wins, he’s going to inherit a great big mess, and as a Washington outsider, have few reliable friends in Congress–one term and out!

If Clinton wins, the GOP attack machine will cook up another “scandal” that will play endlessly on MSNBC, NYT, and WSJ.

So if you thought this election was fun, just wait!

By: C.S.Strowbridge

C.S.Strowbridge — Wed, 20 Feb 2008 17:02:35 +0000

I want to see recent polls for Vermont and Rhode Island. I want to see if Obama can sweep the four states.

By: duros62

duros62 — Wed, 20 Feb 2008 16:58:05 +0000

Quaker, you know as well as I do that Texas is only significant if it goes to Clinton.

By: duros62

duros62 — Wed, 20 Feb 2008 16:55:28 +0000

Off topic, I know, but I just wanted to point out to our Red friends that Bush has invaded another sovereign country.

In August, Sen. Barack Obama had made the argument that, as president, he would target Al Qaeda officials in Pakistan even without the country’s acquiescence — the type of attack that, six months later, proved to be successful.

At the time, Obama was roundly criticized for his remarks, both by his Democratic competitors for the White House and by the Bush administration.

Hmm. Imagine that.

By: Quaker in a Basement

Quaker in a Basement — Wed, 20 Feb 2008 16:28:18 +0000

Jeez, Oliver. You make it sound like Texas is, you know, signifigant or something.

If a smart fellow like Mr. Penn says it’s not signifigant, then we should pay it no attention.