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Obama’s Secret

While doing some research I found the following article on undecided voters from Christopher Hayes. Many on the liberal/Democratic side who insist on calling the Obama campaign a cult of some sort should read it. Ditto for those liberals who whine that campaigns should be wonk-out sessions.

In this context, Bush’s victory, particularly on the strength of those voters who listed “values” as their number one issue, makes perfect sense. Kerry ran a campaign that was about politics: He parsed the world into political categories and offered political solutions. Bush did this too, but it wasn’t the main thr30369E5D-03FE-4CD8-985A-E34959AF8CAA.jpgust of his campaign. Instead, the president ran on broad themes, like “character” and “morals.” Everyone feels an immediate and intuitive expertise on morals and values–we all know what’s right and wrong. But how can undecided voters evaluate a candidate on issues if they don’t even grasp what issues are?

Liberals like to point out that majorities of Americans agree with the Democratic Party on the issues, so Republicans are forced to run on character and values in order to win. (This cuts both ways: I met a large number of Bush/Feingold voters whose politics were more in line with the Republican president, but who admired the backbone and gutsiness of their Democratic senator.) But polls that ask people about issues presuppose a basic familiarity with the concept of issues–a familiarity that may not exist.

As far as I can tell, this leaves Democrats with two options: either abandon “issues” as the lynchpin of political campaigns and adopt the language of values, morals, and character as many have suggested; or begin the long-term and arduous task of rebuilding a popular, accessible political vocabulary–of convincing undecided voters to believe once again in the importance of issues. The former strategy could help the Democrats stop the bleeding in time for 2008. But the latter strategy might be necessary for the Democrats to become a majority party again.

Sara Robinson has more.

What’s going on is that we’ve finally got a Democratic candidate who understands exactly how the Republicans did it. As I pointed out my very first week on this blog, the GOP didn’t come to power by talking about plans and policies; they did it by using strongly emotional appeals that grabbed people by the gut and didn’t let them go. Theirs was never a movement based on reason. It was, from the very beginning, a movement of hearts and souls. And it was that deep, emotionally sustaining commitment that drew people in so deeply that they were willing to give 25 years of their lives to bringing about the New World Order their leaders promised them. We may hate what they’ve accomplished — but we’re never going to be able to do better until we can inspire that same kind of passion for change.

And Obama’s doing just that. He’s tapped into a deeply pressurized seam of repressed fury within the American electorate, and he’s giving it voice, a focus, and an outlet. Are the results scary? You bet: these people want change on a scale that much of the status quo should find terrifying. Are they unreasoning? The followers may be — but as long as their leader keeps a cool head, that’s not as much of a problem right now as we might think; and the heat will dissipate naturally in time. Is this kind of devotion even appropriate? You bet. You don’t get the kind of deep-level change we need without first exposing and channeling people’s deep discontent. Obama’s change talk may be too vague for most people’s tastes (including mine); but the fact is that if we’re serious about enacting a progressive agenda, rousing people’s deepest dreams and desires and mobilizing that energy is exactly how it’s going to happen. And Obama’s the first candidate we’ve had in a generation who really, truly gets this.

Emphasis mine. For years.

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6 Responses to “Obama’s Secret”

  1. mingus says:

    I can appreciate the thoughts and feeling in these articles. My problem with Obama (full disclosure here, I voted for Edwards before he dropped out and am on the fence though slightly leaning towards Clinton at this point) is what exactly will he do as president? Ezra Klein expresses what I feel here:

    http://www.prospect.org/csnc/blogs/ezraklein_archive?month=02&year=2008&base_name=imagine_1

    At least with Clinton, you know what you’re getting. Which is not to say that I like all of that either.

  2. jerry says:

    Huh? I don’t get it. I truly don’t want another GWB in office. Yes, he did win on smoke and mirrors. Yes, that may be a winning strategy. But I’ll pay attention to two Abraham Lincoln quotes.

    You can fool all…

    and

    Better to remain silent…

    Neither of the current candidates deserve my vote, and frankly, neither have done anything to show they respect my vote or have earned my vote.

    And yes, I do place some blame for Harry Reid’s abysmal behavior on their piss poor leadership as candidates.

    There’s a huge difference between running an overly wonky boring campaign and running a campaign based on Seinfeld, the show about nothing.

  3. C.S.Strowbridge says:

    “Huh? I don’t get it. I truly don’t want another GWB in office. Yes, he did win on smoke and mirrors. Yes, that may be a winning strategy.”

    No. You win by appealing to people on an emotional level. That’s all Bush had. Obama actually has substance as well. But unlike Kerry, he can also inspire people. You need both.

    To recap…

    All style and no substance = Bush
    No style and all substance = Kerry
    A good mix of both = Obama… as well as Clinton and Edwards.

  4. C.S.Strowbridge says:

    Obama can flip Colorado…

    http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/colorado/colorado_2008_presidential_election

    Both come within the margin or error in Missouri…

    http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/missouri/missouri_2008_presidential_election

    (I would give Obama a slight edge over Hillary Clinton despite being down 1% more in the polls. He has a better shot at winning over undecideds.)

    If he could take both, that could be enough to win.

  5. If voters are convinced that Obama is the messiah it will be difficult to beat him in the Fall. But what happens if Obama does not manage to walk on water or raise Ronald Reagan from the dead before they go to the polls in November?
    http://jonswift.blogspot.com/2008/02/barack-obamas-achilles-heel.html

  6. SpiderJ says:

    Wow, you spent a lot of words to completely mischaracterize the Obama voters when you could just as easily have called us all wackjobs and showed as much substance.

    I don’t need President Obama to walk on water, raise the dead, or even turn America back into the world’s shining beacon of light. I’m aware that we’ve had eight long years of fuckups that won’t go away overnight, if they go away at all.

    On the contrary to your “Messiah” meme, I have a very low bar set for whichever Democrat I condemn to the task of fixing the Bush regime’s mistakes.

    “Don’t spit on the Constitution. Don’t sacrifice basic human decency in the same of security. Don’t hire your buddies to do important jobs they’re unqualified for. Don’t commit our military to a half-baked strategy based on fully baked intelligence.”

    It’s kind of like the way your body starts to heal itself within days after you stop smoking. All that’s needed, at the start, is a cessation of behavior.