Why Liberals Lose Elections

2:39 am EST January 28th, 2008 | News | 1 Comment

Way too many arguments like these infected with charts saying “look, see, this graph shows why I’m right!!!” and not nearly enough of talking to people like you’re a normal person. Never mind that right off the bat the writer makes some straw man arguments about Sen. Obama. If he believed that both parties were to blame for our failures, he’d probably be running as an independent and not for the nomination of the Democratic party.

My gut told me that, no charts required.

Topic: 2008 Election

South Carolina Poll Failure

2:27 am EST January 28th, 2008 | News | 3 Comments

What I haven’t seen anyone discuss is that the average margin of victory in South Carolina was forecast at about 11.5% in South Carolina. Sen. Obama won by 28%, more than double the forecast number. Considering Sen. Clinton’s win in New Hampshire when many polls had her down by double digits, it’s probably safe to say that nobody — nobody — has a clue what to expect on Super Tuesday.

Topic: 2008 Election

The Green Eyed Monster

11:00 pm EST January 27th, 2008 | News | 6 Comments

Because Sen. Ted Kennedy and Caroline Kennedy have chosen to endorse Sen. Obama, and gone so far as to call him the echo of JFK, pro-Clinton blogger Taylor Marsh has chosen to deride JFK as connected to the mob. Somehow I don’t think if Teddy K was endorsing Sen. Clinton we’d be getting the same reaction. The silly season has now been dialed up to 11.

Marsh goes even further and says that Obama would have voted for the Iraq War. The irony is that Obama spoke against going to war and it is her candidate, Sen. Clinton, who actually voted for the darn thing. This echoes one of the dumber lines the Clinton campaign has been using, trying to paint Obama as more pro-war than she is.

That dog won’t even think of hunting.

UPDATE: To add insult to injury the Clinton camp is pushing out the endorsement of Kathleen Kennedy Townsend as a counter to Sen. Kennedy. On one hand, the liberal lion of the senate, on the other… the woman so inept at politics that she lost Maryland for four years to the moronic Bob Ehrlich. Maryland. A. Kennedy. Lost. In. Maryland.

Topic: 2008 Election

Redskins In Turmoil. Again.

4:00 am EST January 27th, 2008 | News | 3 Comments

It’s like Dan Snyder wants the local fans to hate him. Even a Danny Defender like me thinks this looks like amateur hour stupid. Why not give Gregg Williams the head coaching job? And it’ll be even worse if, as rumored, a super-stiff like Jim Fassel gets the nod. Every time I see Fassel a piece of me yells NORV TURNER NORV TURNER.

And not in a good way.

ON THE WEB: Fire Jim Fassel – Why waste time?

Topic: NFL

Realigning The Map?

3:37 am EST January 27th, 2008 | News | 20 Comments

155,000 more black voters turned out Saturday to vote for Barack Obama than who voted in the Democratic primary in 2004. The overall Democratic field is doing a superb job at turning out voters, thrashing the Republicans with an enthusiasm gap that has to have the GOP’s strategists concerned (and that number doesn’t accurately reflect just how strongly independents have turned against the Republican party since 2004).

I’ve pushed the idea for some time that in addition to the Democratic advantage we’re likely to see this fall thanks to the Bush era, there is also an untapped black vote that will materialize if Sen. Obama is the nominee. Also, as 2006 has shown us, thanks to the incumbent party’s zeal for immigrant-bashing, the hispanic numbers from 2004 are likely to show up as a historic anomaly in favor of the Republicans. So, consider the following swing states in 2004 that went for Bush:

Iowa, Bush, 0.67%
New Mexico, Bush, 0.79%
Ohio, Bush, 2.11%
Nevada, Bush, 2.59%
Colorado, Bush, 4.67%

I can see no reason for those states not to go Democratic. The most pro-Bush of those states, Colorado, is in the middle of a red-to-blue conversion already. In addition to the existing Democratic base vote, we’re likely to see independents decisively go Democratic, as well as Hispanics coming home and a surge of brand new black voters if Obama is the nominee. I don’t even know if having Arizona-based McCain as the GOP nominee will be enough for them to stop the bleeding in those southwestern swing states.

And this doesn’t even take into account the fact that Virginia is trending Democratic and has Mark Warner, a popular Democrat, in contention for the senate seat who has proven coattails.

I’m always pessimistic, always in favor of discarding hubris in favor of feeling lean, mean, and hungry. But I’m also feeling some of that “Yes We Can” religion.

Anyone think this map is totally unrealistic? (I made it here)

ALSO: I think Arkansas is in play as well if Sen. Clinton is the nominee, but not otherwise.

Topic: 2008 Election

South Carolina Primary Coverage

12:33 pm EST January 26th, 2008 | News | 1 Comment

I’ll be appearing on this webcast from the Brave New Films folks at about 8:20pm EST tonight.

Topic: 2008 Election

links for 2008-01-26

7:26 am EST January 26th, 2008 | News | 1 Comment

Donald Rumsfeld & The Dept. Of STFU

5:04 pm EST January 25th, 2008 | Republicans | 17 Comments

Donald Rumsfeld, the worst defense secretary in US history, has risen out of his crypt and is advising the creation of a propaganda ministry for the government. From the guy who oversaw torture at Abu Ghraib, what could possibly go wrong?

Clinton Hardball

5:01 pm EST January 25th, 2008 | News | 8 Comments

Now Sen. Clinton is trying to reinstate the delegates for the Michigan and Florida contests, in direct contest to the national party’s position. Why God, why?

Topic: 2008 Election

GOP Debate: The Hewitting

2:04 am EST January 25th, 2008 | News | 5 Comments

Remember that after every debate Hugh Hewitt has declared Mitt Romney to be the winner. In many of those races, Romney has gone on to lose when people actually go to vote. For this Florida event, Hewitt ups the ante for the contest:

But Romney won the night, and perhaps the nomination as well.

Now Hugh Hewitt is becoming the Mark Penn of the race: Romney is the annointed one. Why are we even bothering with this process? A debate is as good as a primary election! Romney Uber Alles!

And to restate for the record: I think the Republican field is extremely weak. I think that the Republican with the closest chance to maybe win is John McCain. I feel that of the likely other candidates Mitt Romney is far and away the wet noodle I want facing Sen. Clinton or Sen. Obama. I want Mitt Romney on that wall if fringe candidate Rudy Giuliani can’t be there.

Topic: 2008 Election