Comments on: Clinton And Obama Off The Cliff http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/12/23/clinton-and-obama-off-the-cliff/ Like Kryptonite To Stupid Mon, 23 Nov 2009 13:40:21 -0500 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.5 hourly 1 By: C.S.Strowbridge http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/12/23/clinton-and-obama-off-the-cliff/#comment-58581 C.S.Strowbridge Sun, 23 Dec 2007 18:24:57 +0000 http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=4477#comment-58581 I have to agree with the slouch assessment. if you are running below the margin of error, you are not going to get a bump from the top tier fighting it out. On the other hand, I think a lot of people are supporting Obama because they don't want Clinton to win. (Check the polls, specifically the number who will definition support their candidate. Obama's support is softer than Clinton's.) If Edwards wins in Iowa, he will draw a lot of that soft support away. He might not win in New Hampshire, but if he can get a close second place finish, he would still be in the running. I have to agree with the slouch assessment. if you are running below the margin of error, you are not going to get a bump from the top tier fighting it out.

On the other hand, I think a lot of people are supporting Obama because they don’t want Clinton to win. (Check the polls, specifically the number who will definition support their candidate. Obama’s support is softer than Clinton’s.) If Edwards wins in Iowa, he will draw a lot of that soft support away. He might not win in New Hampshire, but if he can get a close second place finish, he would still be in the running.

]]> By: Oliver Willis http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/12/23/clinton-and-obama-off-the-cliff/#comment-58580 Oliver Willis Sun, 23 Dec 2007 16:34:32 +0000 http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=4477#comment-58580 They may be nice guys but when it comes to presidential politics Biden, Dodd and Richardson are slouches. They may be nice guys but when it comes to presidential politics Biden, Dodd and Richardson are slouches.

]]> By: Sabutai http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/12/23/clinton-and-obama-off-the-cliff/#comment-58579 Sabutai Sun, 23 Dec 2007 16:14:54 +0000 http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=4477#comment-58579 Maybe he can. Remember, Edwards got well pasted in New Hampshire 2004, but he airily dismissed it as not counting because there were two New Englanders involved. He can similarly dismiss a strong Clinton showing with the same line. If labor support gets him somewhere in Nevada, followed by loyal Southerners votin' fer one of dere own in the Troglodyte Primary, Edwards is back in the race. That said, the poison in the Dean/Gephardt thing was carried out over the airwaves, in television ads and radio ads, as well as mailers and volunteer activities. A lot of the Clinton/Obama stuff seems confined to dueling press releases and inside baseball stuff that doesn't such in the average voter. (It's also a shame that everyone has bought into the idea that a Clinton/Obama flameout must perforce benefit Edwards, when you have three men running behind this pack who aren't exactly slouches.) Maybe he can. Remember, Edwards got well pasted in New Hampshire 2004, but he airily dismissed it as not counting because there were two New Englanders involved. He can similarly dismiss a strong Clinton showing with the same line. If labor support gets him somewhere in Nevada, followed by loyal Southerners votin’ fer one of dere own in the Troglodyte Primary, Edwards is back in the race.

That said, the poison in the Dean/Gephardt thing was carried out over the airwaves, in television ads and radio ads, as well as mailers and volunteer activities. A lot of the Clinton/Obama stuff seems confined to dueling press releases and inside baseball stuff that doesn’t such in the average voter. (It’s also a shame that everyone has bought into the idea that a Clinton/Obama flameout must perforce benefit Edwards, when you have three men running behind this pack who aren’t exactly slouches.)

]]> By: jerry http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/12/23/clinton-and-obama-off-the-cliff/#comment-58578 jerry Sun, 23 Dec 2007 15:44:05 +0000 http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=4477#comment-58578 Well.... I agree with you, but since I'm currently pissed off with both Clinton and Obama, .... Well…. I agree with you, but since I’m currently pissed off with both Clinton and Obama, ….

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