Comments on: Rudy Giuliani’s Glass Jaw http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/12/19/rudy-giulianis-glass-jaw/ Like Kryptonite To Stupid Tue, 02 Dec 2008 05:51:41 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.6.2 By: C.S.Strowbridge http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/12/19/rudy-giulianis-glass-jaw/#comment-58667 C.S.Strowbridge Thu, 20 Dec 2007 03:57:35 +0000 http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=4488#comment-58667 I just hope he lasts long enough to kill McCain. They share enough supporters that if one dies the other grows. If neither can finish in the top three in Iowa, on the other hand, it might not matter. If Romney win in Iowa, which is looking more and more likely again, would give him a clear win New Hampshire, which in turn would give him the nomination. A Huckabee blowout win in Iowa would give him a boost in a couple other states and Romney might drop enough in New Hampshire to allow McCain to win, which would give him a boost in South Carolina, etc. and he would still be alive for Super Tuesday. That would be bad. A close Huckabee win in Iowa should mean a Romney win in New Hampshire, which would mean a two man race by Super Tuesday. (On a side note, I would give those three Iowa scenarios a 30%/20%/40% with a 10% chance of something else happening like Thompson making a show of it and finishing second place.) I just hope he lasts long enough to kill McCain. They share enough supporters that if one dies the other grows. If neither can finish in the top three in Iowa, on the other hand, it might not matter.

If Romney win in Iowa, which is looking more and more likely again, would give him a clear win New Hampshire, which in turn would give him the nomination.

A Huckabee blowout win in Iowa would give him a boost in a couple other states and Romney might drop enough in New Hampshire to allow McCain to win, which would give him a boost in South Carolina, etc. and he would still be alive for Super Tuesday. That would be bad.

A close Huckabee win in Iowa should mean a Romney win in New Hampshire, which would mean a two man race by Super Tuesday.

(On a side note, I would give those three Iowa scenarios a 30%/20%/40% with a 10% chance of something else happening like Thompson making a show of it and finishing second place.)

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