The conventional wisdom is that if Sen. Clinton is the Democratic nominee, that will fire up conservative voters. Maybe that’s true, but I don’t know why that’s supposed to be a win right out of the gate. Bush won in 2004 by firing up con voters and also souring independents on Kerry. Those independents were more or less “security” voters who as poll after poll shows no longer trust the GOP after Iraq and Katrina, and are likely Democratic voters. On the flip side, I’m pretty sure the liberal base – even the folks who dislike Sen. Clinton’s positions on a few issues, will be plenty fired up to vote for her just to stick it to the right wing noise machine as payback for their activities from 1992-present. Here’s one voter at a Clinton event:
Iowan: I hope you get elected cause it will make Rush Limbaugh really, really mad.
(Laughter from crowd.)
HRC: “Yeah, I am a full employment opportunity agency for some of these folks. If the ratings drop, they just crank it up.”
“Annoy Fox News, Vote For Hillary” isn’t a general election strategy, but it would be a gift for the Clinton folks to use to get the base out. If Hillary Clinton were ever elected president, I’d watch nothing but Fox News, listen to Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity and read con blogs for at least 48 hours straight to fill up on a decade’s worth of schadenfreude. And I know I’m not alone on that.
I’d let other watch the show and then catch the highlights on YouTube. But I know exactly what you mean.
At this point, Obama will need to win Iowa and New Hampshire to have a shot at winning it all. According to Real Clear he’s down 3% in Iowa and nearly 20% in New Hampshire. Pollster has him down 4% in Iowa and 19% in New Hampshire. So it looks like Hillary will be the Democratic contender. And the polls have shown she has done a great job winning people over and far from being unelectable, she is the most electable candidate out there. It would take something new to bring her down, and the Right has spent far too much time and energy to have missed something major till now.
So when she does win it all, and I’m 80% sure she will, I will have a front row seat to watch all of the right-wing losers foam at the mouth till their heads explode. I will burn it onto DVD and watch it over and over again.
Well, I think if she’s the nominee she wins, but I’m not ready to hand her the nomination yet. These things are notoriously fluid, and even though Sen. Clinton is a much more prepared and polished candidate than Gov. Dean ever was at this point in 2003, don’t forget that he was the frontrunner for a long time before Kerry destroyed him in Iowa.
Right now she has a nearly 20% lead in New Hampshire, and even place in Iowa probably won’t change things that much there.
Things could change, but I need to see evidence of that before a adjust my 80% prediction.
Gore, bitches!
Sure they will foam at the mouth and their heads will explode. But how is that any different from today? Or yesterday? Or the entire Clinton presidency? It’s about all they know how to do. They even did it during the first six years of Bush, when Republicans controlled everything and they got everything they ever wanted in government – wars, torture, tax cuts for the rich, suspension of those pesky Constitutional freedoms. Still, nothing but foaming mouths and exploding heads.
I just can’t listen to them. It gives me no glee or joy to put myself through that, not even when they lose, not even in an ironic way.