If Any Democratic Campaign Was As Dumb As Rudy Giuliani’s This Is What Their Electoral Map Would Look Like

5:24 am EST October 3rd, 2007 | News | 7 Comments

I’m still dumbstruck by the stupidity of this exercise from Giuliani.

giulianimapfordems.jpg

I gave them Utah because I think even if Brigham Young came back to life and endorsed Hillary Clinton, Utah would still go Republican. On the other hand, a Democrat has just as much a shot* at winning Texas as Giuliani does at winning Maryland in his map.

* In this case, the shot is 1 in 10 Kajillion plus 1.

UPDATE: He has WASHINGTON, DC AS A “SWING” STATE FOR CHRISSAKE. DC!!

Topic:

Related Posts

«
»

7 Responses to “If Any Democratic Campaign Was As Dumb As Rudy Giuliani’s This Is What Their Electoral Map Would Look Like”

  1. Diamond LeGrande says:
    October 3, 2007 at 7:55 am

    “Best able to beat Clinton” reminds me of John Kerry’s pitch in 2004, “Best able to beat Bush.”

  2. C.S.Strowbridge says:
    October 3, 2007 at 10:20 am

    Damn it! An error ate my post. Arg.

    Here it is again…

    Open Left’s map has Nevada as a safe Republican state, however, while the last poll I’ve seen from the state had Giuliani up by 8 points, that was from March. Nationally, there has been a 8% – 10% swing in Clinton’s favor since then.

    Here are my list of swing states…

    Oregon: McCain actually leads here, but Clinton leads the rest.

    Nevada: Not enough polling to know for sure, but Clinton should be competitive.

    Missouri: Polls are giving mixed messages here, but Clinton should have a slight, slight advantage.

    Tennessee: Thompson would win his home state easily, but the Clinton can beat the rest by varying margins

    Ohio: I’ve seen polls that have Giuliani ahead by the narrowest of margins, but others have Clinton ahead by more than the margin of error

    Florida: See Ohio

    Pennsylvania: Clinton has an advantage here, but it will be close enough for the Republicans to spend big bucks here.

    New Hampshire: Romney actually leads Clinton here, but I think that has a lot to do with the sheer amount of money he’s spent trying to win the primary here.

    (On a side note, I don’t have New Jersey as a swing state. I think the polls will be close enough to encourage the Republicans to spend $10 million here, but they will still lose by 7%.)

    There is a small chance that Clinton could sweep all 8 states earning 106 EC votes, and she would only need 19 to win it all. This is nearly Identical to the Open Left Map, with just a handful of states differing. (I while look into Washington State to see if it is truly up for play.)

  3. C.S.Strowbridge says:
    October 3, 2007 at 3:35 pm

    I would also like to point out that before Bloomberg decided against running for president, Clinton was winning in Texas in a three-way race between here, Bloomberg and Romney. So the Democrats winning in Texas isn’t as bizarre as one might think.

  4. duros62 says:
    October 3, 2007 at 4:20 pm

    Just curious, Stowbridge; Do you do this stuff for aliving? You always seem to have the pulse of the latest polls.

  5. C.S.Strowbridge says:
    October 3, 2007 at 5:29 pm

    “Just curious, Stowbridge; Do you do this stuff for aliving? You always seem to have the pulse of the latest polls.”

    I actually do box office analysis for a living, but politics is the same game. I’m addicted to numbers and love analyzing trends, (which is why I had a better than 90% accuracy last weekend at the box office but I haven’t been invited to a party in decades).

    When it comes to numbers, nothing generates more statistics than politics.

  6. C.S.Strowbridge says:
    October 4, 2007 at 11:45 am

    Quick update…

    http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/28467/edwards_is_top_presidential_contender_in_missouri

    New poll shows Giuliani retook his lead in Missouri, but it is still within the margin of error.

    With a Clinton vs. Giuliani contest I would place the 8 states like this…

    Clinton: Oregon, Tennessee, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire

    Giuliani: Missouri, Nevada

    Mixed: Ohio, Florida

  7. duros62 says:
    October 4, 2007 at 4:41 pm

    So, what, you’re the Movie Fone guy? =)