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	<title>Comments on: Not Even A Fox Poll Can Help The Republican Field</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/07/19/not-even-a-fox-poll-can-help-the-republican-field/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/07/19/not-even-a-fox-poll-can-help-the-republican-field/</link>
	<description>Like Kryptonite To Stupid</description>
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		<title>By: QTM</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/07/19/not-even-a-fox-poll-can-help-the-republican-field/#comment-65987</link>
		<dc:creator>QTM</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Jul 2007 17:49:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=5681#comment-65987</guid>
		<description>Jay,

Go look at Pollkatz, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.pollkatz.homestead.com/,&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.pollkatz.homestead.com/,&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://www.pollkatz.homestead.com/,&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/a&gt; which graphically shows all of the major poll results for Bush&#039;s entire presidency. The Fox poll, along with Gallup, is consistently at the top of the range of all of the polls, for the past 6 years. Only once, in January 2001, has Fox had the &quot;low poll.&quot; It has been the &quot;high poll&quot; many times.

The difference of the Fox poll from the average is statistically very significant.  Like all of the other polls, Fox has roughly a 3 point random error --meaning 19 times out of 20, it will be within 3 points either way of the &quot;true&quot; value for its sample. But is ALSO has a 2-3 point systematic error -- it is always 3 points higher, with the random error added on top of this systematic difference.

So, no, you are not correct. The difference in the Fox poll is real, and it means something.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jay,</p>
<p>Go look at Pollkatz, <a href="http://www.pollkatz.homestead.com/," rel="nofollow"></a><a href="http://www.pollkatz.homestead.com/," rel="nofollow">http://www.pollkatz.homestead.com/,</a> which graphically shows all of the major poll results for Bush&#8217;s entire presidency. The Fox poll, along with Gallup, is consistently at the top of the range of all of the polls, for the past 6 years. Only once, in January 2001, has Fox had the &#8220;low poll.&#8221; It has been the &#8220;high poll&#8221; many times.</p>
<p>The difference of the Fox poll from the average is statistically very significant.  Like all of the other polls, Fox has roughly a 3 point random error &#8211;meaning 19 times out of 20, it will be within 3 points either way of the &#8220;true&#8221; value for its sample. But is ALSO has a 2-3 point systematic error &#8212; it is always 3 points higher, with the random error added on top of this systematic difference.</p>
<p>So, no, you are not correct. The difference in the Fox poll is real, and it means something.</p>
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		<title>By: Jay</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/07/19/not-even-a-fox-poll-can-help-the-republican-field/#comment-65986</link>
		<dc:creator>Jay</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Jul 2007 13:18:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=5681#comment-65986</guid>
		<description>Time and time again I have asked you to provide evidence that Fox polls are somehow skewed and you&#039;ve never been able to do so other than to say that their polls seems to favor the GOP by a couple of points from time to time.

That of course means nothing, as 2-3 points is within the margin of error for most other polls. All it takes is a couple of clicks on Pollingreport.com to see that Fox&#039;s poll results are pretty much in line with all of the others, so to say &quot;Republicans are losing in the Fox poll&quot; as if it some kind of shock is absurd.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Time and time again I have asked you to provide evidence that Fox polls are somehow skewed and you&#8217;ve never been able to do so other than to say that their polls seems to favor the GOP by a couple of points from time to time.</p>
<p>That of course means nothing, as 2-3 points is within the margin of error for most other polls. All it takes is a couple of clicks on Pollingreport.com to see that Fox&#8217;s poll results are pretty much in line with all of the others, so to say &#8220;Republicans are losing in the Fox poll&#8221; as if it some kind of shock is absurd.</p>
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		<title>By: C.S.Strowbridge</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/07/19/not-even-a-fox-poll-can-help-the-republican-field/#comment-65985</link>
		<dc:creator>C.S.Strowbridge</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Jul 2007 01:57:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=5681#comment-65985</guid>
		<description>I mentioned this in another thread. Zogby&#039;s polls give the same results. Unless something changes, it will be a bad election cycle for the Republicans.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I mentioned this in another thread. Zogby&#8217;s polls give the same results. Unless something changes, it will be a bad election cycle for the Republicans.</p>
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