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	<title>Comments on: Surge Over/Under</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/</link>
	<description>Like Kryptonite To Stupid</description>
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		<item>
		<title>By: Duros62</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/#comment-81180</link>
		<dc:creator>Duros62</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Mar 2007 17:05:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=6728#comment-81180</guid>
		<description>But Larry made $820,000 over the entire course of his life, while Bob has only gotten that stuff over the past 4-5 years, so clearly Larry has more!
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>But Larry made $820,000 over the entire course of his life, while Bob has only gotten that stuff over the past 4-5 years, so clearly Larry has more!</p>
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		<title>By: frameone</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/#comment-81179</link>
		<dc:creator>frameone</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Mar 2007 16:40:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=6728#comment-81179</guid>
		<description>Dugger,

As Midderpidge and everyone else has pointed out repeatedly, there is nothing to debate because the &quot;factual&quot; comparison you are using to support your entire argument -- that things are better in Iraq -- is 100 percent bogus.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dugger,</p>
<p>As Midderpidge and everyone else has pointed out repeatedly, there is nothing to debate because the &#8220;factual&#8221; comparison you are using to support your entire argument &#8212; that things are better in Iraq &#8212; is 100 percent bogus.</p>
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		<title>By: midderpidge</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/#comment-81178</link>
		<dc:creator>midderpidge</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Mar 2007 14:40:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=6728#comment-81178</guid>
		<description>For the logically impaired an example

Let&#039;s compare the networths of Bob and Larry.

Bob owns a home worth about $300,000, his retirement and other accounts have about $300,000, his car and personal belongings are worth about $60,000.  He has no outstanding loans.  A fair estimate his networth might be about $660,000

Larry has $820 in his wallet.  His networth might be about $820.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For the logically impaired an example</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s compare the networths of Bob and Larry.</p>
<p>Bob owns a home worth about $300,000, his retirement and other accounts have about $300,000, his car and personal belongings are worth about $60,000.  He has no outstanding loans.  A fair estimate his networth might be about $660,000</p>
<p>Larry has $820 in his wallet.  His networth might be about $820.</p>
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		<title>By: midderpidge</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/#comment-81177</link>
		<dc:creator>midderpidge</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Mar 2007 14:35:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=6728#comment-81177</guid>
		<description>Let&#039;s see, I just destroyed your whole argument earlier in the thread, what do you want?

Recap:  You used two different and incompatible standards to make a comparison.
On one hand you take an estimate of the whole and accept that as a fair representation.
On the other side you take an estimation of a fragment of the whole and declare it to be representative of the whole.
That makes for an invlaid statement on your part and until you address it all of your arguments are built on a foundation of sand with the tide coming in.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Let&#8217;s see, I just destroyed your whole argument earlier in the thread, what do you want?</p>
<p>Recap:  You used two different and incompatible standards to make a comparison.<br />
On one hand you take an estimate of the whole and accept that as a fair representation.<br />
On the other side you take an estimation of a fragment of the whole and declare it to be representative of the whole.<br />
That makes for an invlaid statement on your part and until you address it all of your arguments are built on a foundation of sand with the tide coming in.</p>
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		<title>By: Dugger</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/#comment-81176</link>
		<dc:creator>Dugger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Mar 2007 13:29:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=6728#comment-81176</guid>
		<description>I keep hoping somebody will make a serious attempt to debate on this and none do.  Like destroying the &#039;Bush lied&#039; concept, I guess I have won this one too.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I keep hoping somebody will make a serious attempt to debate on this and none do.  Like destroying the &#8216;Bush lied&#8217; concept, I guess I have won this one too.</p>
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		<title>By: Snarkerpidge</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/#comment-81175</link>
		<dc:creator>Snarkerpidge</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Mar 2007 03:55:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=6728#comment-81175</guid>
		<description>Wow, maybe Dugger should be banned.  His obvious debating faults and trollish behavior aside, Zython has now learned that Dugger is a racist who donates to NAMBLA and beats his wife.

Note to Dugger: you have to admit I am not lying when I say this.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Wow, maybe Dugger should be banned.  His obvious debating faults and trollish behavior aside, Zython has now learned that Dugger is a racist who donates to NAMBLA and beats his wife.</p>
<p>Note to Dugger: you have to admit I am not lying when I say this.</p>
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		<title>By: Zython</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/#comment-81174</link>
		<dc:creator>Zython</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Mar 2007 00:33:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=6728#comment-81174</guid>
		<description>Dugger:

1. Prove it.
2. You have proven many times in the past that you don&#039;t know the basic of algebra or statistics.
3. Why the hell should we believe a &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/squeal.html#comment-63578400&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;racist, child molesting, gay bashing, sadistic Nazi&lt;/a&gt;?
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dugger:</p>
<p>1. Prove it.<br />
2. You have proven many times in the past that you don&#8217;t know the basic of algebra or statistics.<br />
3. Why the hell should we believe a <a href="http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/squeal.html#comment-63578400" rel="nofollow">racist, child molesting, gay bashing, sadistic Nazi</a>?</p>
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		<title>By: midderpidge</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/#comment-81173</link>
		<dc:creator>midderpidge</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Mar 2007 23:18:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=6728#comment-81173</guid>
		<description>Poor Dugger, got his favorite talking point dismantled again with no defense.  More Iraqis have been killed since the US invasion than would have been killed under Hussein.  80,000+/year over a four year period is a higher number than 40,000/year  over a 25 year or whatever period.  And that isn&#039;t even arguing that under the last ten years of Hussein&#039;s rule the death toll was significantly lower a trend that would have continued if not for the US invasion.

Poor Dugger, he&#039;s gonna ruin his kidney drinking all that Kool Aid to wash away the taste of that.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Poor Dugger, got his favorite talking point dismantled again with no defense.  More Iraqis have been killed since the US invasion than would have been killed under Hussein.  80,000+/year over a four year period is a higher number than 40,000/year  over a 25 year or whatever period.  And that isn&#8217;t even arguing that under the last ten years of Hussein&#8217;s rule the death toll was significantly lower a trend that would have continued if not for the US invasion.</p>
<p>Poor Dugger, he&#8217;s gonna ruin his kidney drinking all that Kool Aid to wash away the taste of that.</p>
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		<title>By: Duros62</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/#comment-81172</link>
		<dc:creator>Duros62</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Mar 2007 23:11:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=6728#comment-81172</guid>
		<description>I hope those folks who got blown up by a tanker full  of chlorine over the weekend know how fucking good they have it now and stop their whining.
Boo-hoo, my eyes, my lungs, wahh, waah. At least you weren&#039;t thrown off a roof.
Salt of the earth, Dugger. That&#039;s what you are. You know the kind where nothing will ever grow again.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I hope those folks who got blown up by a tanker full  of chlorine over the weekend know how fucking good they have it now and stop their whining.<br />
Boo-hoo, my eyes, my lungs, wahh, waah. At least you weren&#8217;t thrown off a roof.<br />
Salt of the earth, Dugger. That&#8217;s what you are. You know the kind where nothing will ever grow again.</p>
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		<title>By: frameone</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/#comment-81171</link>
		<dc:creator>frameone</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Mar 2007 23:07:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=6728#comment-81171</guid>
		<description>Jesus. Dugger, people are being slaughtered everyday in Iraq as we speak.

Your entire argument that this is still a good thing rests on a totally bogus comparison, not to mention the worst kind of utilitarian morality.

You live in a fantasy land.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jesus. Dugger, people are being slaughtered everyday in Iraq as we speak.</p>
<p>Your entire argument that this is still a good thing rests on a totally bogus comparison, not to mention the worst kind of utilitarian morality.</p>
<p>You live in a fantasy land.</p>
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		<title>By: Dugger</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/#comment-81170</link>
		<dc:creator>Dugger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Mar 2007 23:04:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=6728#comment-81170</guid>
		<description>There were only two alternatives: with Saddam or without.  With Saddam the total deaths and the death rate was much higher.  Without much lower.  Lancet is and has been discredited.

I&#039;m sorry it hurts your feelings to think that Bush and the Republicans and Democrats who voted for war may have done mankind some good, but they did.

Don&#039;t believe me? See what WaPo most recently says about casualties.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There were only two alternatives: with Saddam or without.  With Saddam the total deaths and the death rate was much higher.  Without much lower.  Lancet is and has been discredited.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m sorry it hurts your feelings to think that Bush and the Republicans and Democrats who voted for war may have done mankind some good, but they did.</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t believe me? See what WaPo most recently says about casualties.</p>
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		<title>By: Duros62</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/#comment-81169</link>
		<dc:creator>Duros62</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Mar 2007 22:24:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=6728#comment-81169</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;why don&#039;t you compare the number of people Hussein killed in the four years prior to our invasion to the fours year since.&lt;/i&gt;

What are you, a freakin&#039; commie? That would be an equivalent. We can&#039;t have that.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>why don&#8217;t you compare the number of people Hussein killed in the four years prior to our invasion to the fours year since.</i></p>
<p>What are you, a freakin&#8217; commie? That would be an equivalent. We can&#8217;t have that.</p>
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		<title>By: Duros62</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/#comment-81168</link>
		<dc:creator>Duros62</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Mar 2007 22:20:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=6728#comment-81168</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Whats more important than saving lives? Name one thing&lt;/i&gt;

&lt;b&gt;Not taking lives!&lt;/b&gt;
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Whats more important than saving lives? Name one thing</i></p>
<p><b>Not taking lives!</b></p>
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		<title>By: frameone</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/#comment-81167</link>
		<dc:creator>frameone</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Mar 2007 22:07:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=6728#comment-81167</guid>
		<description>Let me ask you Dugs, why don&#039;t you compare the number of peole Hussein killed in the four years prior to our invasion to the fours year since.

Do you have numbers for the four years just before our invasion?
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Let me ask you Dugs, why don&#8217;t you compare the number of peole Hussein killed in the four years prior to our invasion to the fours year since.</p>
<p>Do you have numbers for the four years just before our invasion?</p>
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		<title>By: midderpidge</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/#comment-81166</link>
		<dc:creator>midderpidge</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Mar 2007 22:01:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=6728#comment-81166</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Our maximum therefore refers to reported deaths - which can only be a sample of true deaths unless one assumes that every civilian death has been reported. It is likely that many if not most civilian casualties will go unreported by the media. That is the sad nature of war.&lt;/i&gt;


So Dugger uses as his basis a total that reflects only confirmed and reported deaths on one side of his equation, and then on the other side uses a figure that is entirely based on estimates.  Two different standards.

355,000 is not an unreasonable estimate if we take the Lancet study of 655,000 and add it to the IBC 55,000 and average the two which is far more accurate than Dugger&#039;s method of taking a low that is presumed by it&#039;s researchers to be way low and using that.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Our maximum therefore refers to reported deaths &#8211; which can only be a sample of true deaths unless one assumes that every civilian death has been reported. It is likely that many if not most civilian casualties will go unreported by the media. That is the sad nature of war.</i></p>
<p>So Dugger uses as his basis a total that reflects only confirmed and reported deaths on one side of his equation, and then on the other side uses a figure that is entirely based on estimates.  Two different standards.</p>
<p>355,000 is not an unreasonable estimate if we take the Lancet study of 655,000 and add it to the IBC 55,000 and average the two which is far more accurate than Dugger&#8217;s method of taking a low that is presumed by it&#8217;s researchers to be way low and using that.</p>
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		<title>By: frameone</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/#comment-81165</link>
		<dc:creator>frameone</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Mar 2007 22:00:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=6728#comment-81165</guid>
		<description>Dugger, you moron, you can&#039;t simply average deaths per year when comparing two different time frames to suggest that we are &quot;saving lives&quot; because less people are being killed now per year than before.

Why don&#039;t you just average out the total number of Iraqis murdered going back 1,000 years to argue that Iraq is now safer now than it has ever been in the history of mankind?

Your use of statistics is absolutely mind boggling, and yet you keep coming back with dumber and dumber arguments.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dugger, you moron, you can&#8217;t simply average deaths per year when comparing two different time frames to suggest that we are &#8220;saving lives&#8221; because less people are being killed now per year than before.</p>
<p>Why don&#8217;t you just average out the total number of Iraqis murdered going back 1,000 years to argue that Iraq is now safer now than it has ever been in the history of mankind?</p>
<p>Your use of statistics is absolutely mind boggling, and yet you keep coming back with dumber and dumber arguments.</p>
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		<title>By: cazart</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/#comment-81164</link>
		<dc:creator>cazart</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Mar 2007 21:55:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=6728#comment-81164</guid>
		<description>&quot;Saving somebody who&#039;s on fire by throwing them in a pool of crocodiles is not a job well done.&quot;

It is in Bushworld.
Hell, get out the Medals of Freedom!
Heckuva job, Duggie.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Saving somebody who&#8217;s on fire by throwing them in a pool of crocodiles is not a job well done.&#8221;</p>
<p>It is in Bushworld.<br />
Hell, get out the Medals of Freedom!<br />
Heckuva job, Duggie.</p>
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		<title>By: SpiderJ</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/#comment-81163</link>
		<dc:creator>SpiderJ</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Mar 2007 21:41:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=6728#comment-81163</guid>
		<description>You know, Dugger, it&#039;s possible to say that things were bad under Saddam and they&#039;re bad under our occupation as well. You do realize that, right? While you&#039;re arguing &quot;but we&#039;re not AS bad,&quot; you&#039;re ignoring that nonetheless, it&#039;s still pretty bloody bad in Iraq. And my point is that none of the civilians in the war zone are playing the same quantitative measurement games as you. They&#039;re too busy mourning their family members.

Saving lives is important, but if you can&#039;t keep them safe immediately afterwards, then what&#039;s the point? Saving somebody who&#039;s on fire by throwing them in a pool of crocodiles is not a job well done.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You know, Dugger, it&#8217;s possible to say that things were bad under Saddam and they&#8217;re bad under our occupation as well. You do realize that, right? While you&#8217;re arguing &#8220;but we&#8217;re not AS bad,&#8221; you&#8217;re ignoring that nonetheless, it&#8217;s still pretty bloody bad in Iraq. And my point is that none of the civilians in the war zone are playing the same quantitative measurement games as you. They&#8217;re too busy mourning their family members.</p>
<p>Saving lives is important, but if you can&#8217;t keep them safe immediately afterwards, then what&#8217;s the point? Saving somebody who&#8217;s on fire by throwing them in a pool of crocodiles is not a job well done.</p>
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		<title>By: Dugger</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/#comment-81162</link>
		<dc:creator>Dugger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Mar 2007 21:16:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=6728#comment-81162</guid>
		<description>no duros - about 60K

and wrong midder

IBC - Same source I always used.

The leftist Bush-hating WaPo just recemntly dealt with very similar numbers (to mine).

I know you both would like to believe the throroughly dicredited Lancet numbers.  But they have been just that discredited by multiple sources - multiple times.

And Spider, you have it bass-ackwards.  You wnat to say that those 60K dead post Saddam are somehow worse that that far greater number dead under Saddam.  Thats cold.
Whats more important than saving lives? Name one thing.
If gencocide is not the greatest evil, what is?  And we can&#039;t establish genocide without chronicling the butchery of the purveyor, can we.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>no duros &#8211; about 60K</p>
<p>and wrong midder</p>
<p>IBC &#8211; Same source I always used.</p>
<p>The leftist Bush-hating WaPo just recemntly dealt with very similar numbers (to mine).</p>
<p>I know you both would like to believe the throroughly dicredited Lancet numbers.  But they have been just that discredited by multiple sources &#8211; multiple times.</p>
<p>And Spider, you have it bass-ackwards.  You wnat to say that those 60K dead post Saddam are somehow worse that that far greater number dead under Saddam.  Thats cold.<br />
Whats more important than saving lives? Name one thing.<br />
If gencocide is not the greatest evil, what is?  And we can&#8217;t establish genocide without chronicling the butchery of the purveyor, can we.</p>
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		<title>By: Duros62</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2007/03/19/surge-overunder/#comment-81161</link>
		<dc:creator>Duros62</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Mar 2007 19:04:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=6728#comment-81161</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Think 60,000 over over four years (post Saddam) &lt;/i&gt;

You forgot a zero, here, I think.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Think 60,000 over over four years (post Saddam) </i></p>
<p>You forgot a zero, here, I think.</p>
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