A Question About The Election

2:01 am EST November 1st, 2006 | Uncategorized | 8 Comments

I’m honestly asking this. I haven’t seen otherwise, and I really am wondering.

Is there anyone besides obvious Republican/Conservative partisans/operatives/officials who are predicting the GOP will hold both the House and the Senate? I’m not saying this to say they are wrong, and of course Democratic partisans/operatives are predicting the opposite – but is anyone who makes their living as a more or less nonpartisan election watcher or reporter predicting that the GOP will retain control of both the House and the Senate?

I ask because the conservative blogs and media, led by Hugh Hewitt, Rush Limbaugh, and Karl Rove keep trying to throw aspersions on people who say otherwise (though I’ve seen con pundits like Fred Barnes, Mort Kondracke, Bob Novak, Joe Scarborough and even Michael Barone predict that the GOP will lose the House) and even claim that Stuart Rothenberg, Charlie Cook, Pew, Gallup, etc. are all part of a Democratic plot to dissuade the conservative vote.

This doesn’t seem to make sense to me, especially for people like Cook who make a living predicting this stuff. If there’s big money in getting this stuff accurate, basic economics says Cook & Co. have a clear incentive to call it as they see it, yet it seems only Republican partisans see things otherwise in an unprecedented moment of “clarity”. It isn’t like these same people were giving Dems the benefit of the doubt in 2002 and 2004 (I, a clear Democratic partisan, felt dread going into 2002 and more than a spoonful of apprehension going into 2004) but somehow in 2006 they’re supposedly knocking back Cristal with Howard Dean and George Soros.

Is there any logical basis for this?

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8 Responses to “A Question About The Election”

  1. buma says:
    November 1, 2006 at 2:22 am

    Is there anyone besides obvious Republican/Conservative partisans/operatives/officials who are predicting the GOP will hold both the House and the Senate?

    Computer programmers at Diebold (quietly of course)?

  2. Nimrod Gently says:
    November 1, 2006 at 6:46 am

    Electrical-Vote dot com has the Dems taking the House easily, and the GOP keeping the Senate by the pores on the skin of their teeth.

  3. vicbastard says:
    November 1, 2006 at 7:53 am

    Yeah — there’s something logical in it: they’re going to steal the close races.

  4. dr pedro says:
    November 1, 2006 at 9:52 am

    I think the whole calling the presidential race incorrectly gives republican optimists a “reasonable doubt” that the polls are correct, and that is the wedge they use to say “ignore the polls…”.

    I say the R’s lose the house, and that is a good thing for the R’s in 2008

  5. Duros62 says:
    November 1, 2006 at 12:32 pm

    How is that going to be a good thing in 2008 when the Dems get into both houses of Congress next week and fix things?

  6. Jay says:
    November 1, 2006 at 2:03 pm

    How is that going to be a good thing in 2008 when the Dems get into both houses of Congress next week and fix things?

    Bwahaha…You know how everybody talks about how when they read something funny they spew soda or coffee all over their screen?

    I didn’t do that, but reading this while having water in my mouth did make me dribble some of it as I tried not to laugh.

  7. Mike Cohen says:
    November 1, 2006 at 3:34 pm

    Don’t count our victories until next Wednesday morning. I’m sure they still have something up their sleeves.

  8. Duros62 says:
    November 2, 2006 at 1:16 pm

    I didn’t do that, but reading this while having water in my mouth did make me dribble some of it as I tried not to laugh.

    Thought you’d like that.
    Hey, if Pedro can extoll the wonders of the GOP, so can I conversely, right?