Do you remember, on the way to 31%, how the right-wing blogs assured us all those approval polls were rigged?
Not so much.
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No … but I remeber all the righties lecturing us about how Feingold’s censure motion was going to reverse Bush’s freefall.
Don’t forget how DeLay’s DeParture robbed Democrats of their best chance to make gains in November.
Hah. I keep asking the guys over at Blogs For Bush that at what point does the margin of their precieved bias run out and actual slumping numbers begin? Does 31% really mean 40%? Do you really want to brag about any sort of majority hating the president? I think they should just stick to “polls mean nothing” arguments and cease saying these polls are biased…
Adam, the people over there think that Google is biased, so how are you going to talk some sense to that?
Does that mean that when his poll numbers were over 90% post-9/11, those polls were rigged too?
The amazing thing about these polls is that every other president who has approached these abysmal figures (Carter, Bush I, Early Clinton), did so in the throes of an economic downturn. Many economists and political scientists will tell you that you can look at certain economic indicators and predict the popularity of the incumbency with surprising accuracy. Currently, while there are definitely systemic problems in the economy, things aren’t too bad for most people. Employment is high and the stock market is up. In spite of this, the vast majority of Americans realize that Bush is doing a horrible job.
The most common right wing argument is not so much that polls in general mean nothing but that this poll in particular means nothing, since Bush is not running for re-election. That’s just whistling past the gallows, of course. What these numbers mean is that Bush has no political capital with which to enact his own agenda, and he’s an albatross around the necks of congressional and gubernatorial republicans in the upcoming elections. Plus republican campaigns are going to have to work harder than ever before to get out the vote. No reason for dem. complacency, however!