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	<title>Comments on: How Do We Pay? Tax Cuts!</title>
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	<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/</link>
	<description>Like Kryptonite To Stupid</description>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Quaker in a Basement</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/#comment-15898</link>
		<dc:creator>Quaker in a Basement</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Dec 2005 17:12:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=1101#comment-15898</guid>
		<description>You know, that &quot;highest tax revenues in our history&quot; business made me curious, so I went a &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/fy2006/pdf/hist.pdf&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;looked it up.&lt;/a&gt;

In the years after 1950, there have been only nine years when we &lt;i&gt;didn&#039;t&lt;/i&gt; have &quot;the highest tax revenues in our history.&quot; (Four of those happened under the current administration.) That&#039;s 46 of the last 55 years.

Something tells me there&#039;s a little more at work here than George Bush&#039;s tax cuts.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You know, that &#8220;highest tax revenues in our history&#8221; business made me curious, so I went a <a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/fy2006/pdf/hist.pdf" rel="nofollow">looked it up.</a></p>
<p>In the years after 1950, there have been only nine years when we <i>didn&#8217;t</i> have &#8220;the highest tax revenues in our history.&#8221; (Four of those happened under the current administration.) That&#8217;s 46 of the last 55 years.</p>
<p>Something tells me there&#8217;s a little more at work here than George Bush&#8217;s tax cuts.</p>
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		<title>By: JD</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/#comment-15897</link>
		<dc:creator>JD</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Dec 2005 16:12:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=1101#comment-15897</guid>
		<description>Quaker - Then let us look at the money in side of the equation.  We are currently experiencing some of, if not the highest tax revenues in our history.  Kind of blows that talking point to bits, huh ?
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Quaker &#8211; Then let us look at the money in side of the equation.  We are currently experiencing some of, if not the highest tax revenues in our history.  Kind of blows that talking point to bits, huh ?</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Quaker in a Basement</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/#comment-15896</link>
		<dc:creator>Quaker in a Basement</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Dec 2005 16:12:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=1101#comment-15896</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;We are currently experiencing some of, if not the highest tax revenues in our history. Kind of blows that talking point to bits, huh ?
&lt;/blockquote&gt;

That depends.

In how many previous years did we &quot;experience the highest tax revenues in our history&quot;?

Were &lt;i&gt;all&lt;/i&gt; of those earlier record highs preceded by tax cuts? If not, what were the causes of the record highs and how do we know those forces aren&#039;t causing the current record high?

If you don&#039;t know the answer, then you&#039;re just playing &quot;X happened before Y, therefore X caused Y&quot; without understanding how X and Y are related.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>We are currently experiencing some of, if not the highest tax revenues in our history. Kind of blows that talking point to bits, huh ?
</p></blockquote>
<p>That depends.</p>
<p>In how many previous years did we &#8220;experience the highest tax revenues in our history&#8221;?</p>
<p>Were <i>all</i> of those earlier record highs preceded by tax cuts? If not, what were the causes of the record highs and how do we know those forces aren&#8217;t causing the current record high?</p>
<p>If you don&#8217;t know the answer, then you&#8217;re just playing &#8220;X happened before Y, therefore X caused Y&#8221; without understanding how X and Y are related.</p>
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		<title>By: southpaw</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/#comment-15895</link>
		<dc:creator>southpaw</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Dec 2005 05:12:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=1101#comment-15895</guid>
		<description>Jun 02 Halliburton stock was $9.00 a share.  Yesterday it was $66.00 a share.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jun 02 Halliburton stock was $9.00 a share.  Yesterday it was $66.00 a share.</p>
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		<title>By: Quaker in a Basement</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/#comment-15894</link>
		<dc:creator>Quaker in a Basement</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Dec 2005 23:12:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=1101#comment-15894</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;Essentially, you are ignoring spending and its role, and blaming this all on tax cuts.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Thanks for the translation and &lt;i&gt;Am not! Am not! Am not!&lt;/i&gt;

I&#039;m blaming this on the &lt;i&gt;difference&lt;/i&gt; between money in and money out.

I believe it was drpedro who only wanted to look at half of the equation when he wrote:
&lt;blockquote&gt;if one action is perceived as bad (raising taxes) and one good, both leading to the same result,&lt;/blockquote&gt;

He was looking only at the upward direction of revenues. (Of course, we haven&#039;t even begun to debate what the current level of tax revenue would be &lt;i&gt;without&lt;/i&gt; the tax cuts. Another topic for another day.)
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Essentially, you are ignoring spending and its role, and blaming this all on tax cuts.</p></blockquote>
<p>Thanks for the translation and <i>Am not! Am not! Am not!</i></p>
<p>I&#8217;m blaming this on the <i>difference</i> between money in and money out.</p>
<p>I believe it was drpedro who only wanted to look at half of the equation when he wrote:</p>
<blockquote><p>if one action is perceived as bad (raising taxes) and one good, both leading to the same result,</p></blockquote>
<p>He was looking only at the upward direction of revenues. (Of course, we haven&#8217;t even begun to debate what the current level of tax revenue would be <i>without</i> the tax cuts. Another topic for another day.)</p>
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		<title>By: JD</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/#comment-15893</link>
		<dc:creator>JD</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Dec 2005 23:12:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=1101#comment-15893</guid>
		<description>Quaker - I believe what he was attempting to point out is the fact that you made the assertion that Bush&#039;s tax cuts require borrowing in the future, as though the tax cuts, which have led to increased revenues, are responsible for future borrowing or defecits.  Essentially, you are ignoring spending and its role, and blaming this all on tax cuts.

You will get no arguments from me that the Republicans have been horrific with spending, but that it another thread altogether.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Quaker &#8211; I believe what he was attempting to point out is the fact that you made the assertion that Bush&#8217;s tax cuts require borrowing in the future, as though the tax cuts, which have led to increased revenues, are responsible for future borrowing or defecits.  Essentially, you are ignoring spending and its role, and blaming this all on tax cuts.</p>
<p>You will get no arguments from me that the Republicans have been horrific with spending, but that it another thread altogether.</p>
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		<title>By: SaveFarris</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/#comment-15892</link>
		<dc:creator>SaveFarris</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Dec 2005 21:12:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=1101#comment-15892</guid>
		<description>Quaker, tax increases/decreases DO NOT EQUAL spending increases/decreases.   Does the price of milk change if you get paid for 40 hours one week and 32 the next?
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Quaker, tax increases/decreases DO NOT EQUAL spending increases/decreases.   Does the price of milk change if you get paid for 40 hours one week and 32 the next?</p>
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		<title>By: Quaker in a Basement</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/#comment-15891</link>
		<dc:creator>Quaker in a Basement</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Dec 2005 21:12:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=1101#comment-15891</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;tax increases/decreases DO NOT EQUAL spending increases/decreases. Does the price of milk change if you get paid for 40 hours one week and 32 the next? &lt;/blockquote&gt;

Wuzzuh?
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>tax increases/decreases DO NOT EQUAL spending increases/decreases. Does the price of milk change if you get paid for 40 hours one week and 32 the next? </p></blockquote>
<p>Wuzzuh?</p>
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		<title>By: Quaker in a Basement</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/#comment-15890</link>
		<dc:creator>Quaker in a Basement</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Dec 2005 18:12:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=1101#comment-15890</guid>
		<description>Oops. And your other question:
&lt;blockquote&gt;And what taxes did Reagan enact?
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.nationalreview.com/nrof_bartlett/bartlett200310290853.asp&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Here&#039;s &lt;/a&gt;a good summary.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oops. And your other question:</p>
<blockquote><p>And what taxes did Reagan enact?
</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.nationalreview.com/nrof_bartlett/bartlett200310290853.asp" rel="nofollow">Here&#8217;s </a>a good summary.</p>
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		<title>By: Quaker in a Basement</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/#comment-15889</link>
		<dc:creator>Quaker in a Basement</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Dec 2005 18:12:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=1101#comment-15889</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;it is just that if one action is perceived as bad (raising taxes) and one good, both leading to the same result, why not avoid the bad action?
&lt;/blockquote&gt;

I&#039;m still speaking in the context of the Laffer curve, which Farris introduced into the discussion. From that perspective, the only &quot;good&quot; action is finding the tax rate that optimizes government revenue.

As for your question, the two actions &lt;i&gt;don&#039;t&lt;/i&gt; lead to the same result. The Clinton tax increase allowed the government to pay its bills out of current revenues. The Bush tax cuts require borrowing from future taxpayers to pay for current expenditures.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>it is just that if one action is perceived as bad (raising taxes) and one good, both leading to the same result, why not avoid the bad action?
</p></blockquote>
<p>I&#8217;m still speaking in the context of the Laffer curve, which Farris introduced into the discussion. From that perspective, the only &#8220;good&#8221; action is finding the tax rate that optimizes government revenue.</p>
<p>As for your question, the two actions <i>don&#8217;t</i> lead to the same result. The Clinton tax increase allowed the government to pay its bills out of current revenues. The Bush tax cuts require borrowing from future taxpayers to pay for current expenditures.</p>
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		<title>By: drpedro</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/#comment-15888</link>
		<dc:creator>drpedro</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Dec 2005 15:12:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=1101#comment-15888</guid>
		<description>No Quaker, it is just that if one action is perceived as bad (raising taxes) and one good, both leading to the same result, why not avoid the bad action?

Deficits didn&#039;t explode...they went up and during that time (without the benefit of an artificially inflated stock market, a la Clinton) we had the longest period of non-wartime growth in the history of this country.  And what taxes did Reagan enact?
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No Quaker, it is just that if one action is perceived as bad (raising taxes) and one good, both leading to the same result, why not avoid the bad action?</p>
<p>Deficits didn&#8217;t explode&#8230;they went up and during that time (without the benefit of an artificially inflated stock market, a la Clinton) we had the longest period of non-wartime growth in the history of this country.  And what taxes did Reagan enact?</p>
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		<title>By: SaveFarris</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/#comment-15887</link>
		<dc:creator>SaveFarris</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Dec 2005 13:12:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=1101#comment-15887</guid>
		<description>Ryland,

nice of you to notice revenue and spending are two entirely different subjects.  Now if you can just tell Oliver....
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ryland,</p>
<p>nice of you to notice revenue and spending are two entirely different subjects.  Now if you can just tell Oliver&#8230;.</p>
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		<title>By: Quaker in a Basement</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/#comment-15886</link>
		<dc:creator>Quaker in a Basement</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Dec 2005 04:12:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=1101#comment-15886</guid>
		<description>Clinton raised taxes...revenues went &lt;i&gt;up!&lt;/i&gt;

Either we&#039;re simultaneously on both sides of the Laffer curve, or else it&#039;s a too simplistic model of the real world.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Clinton raised taxes&#8230;revenues went <i>up!</i></p>
<p>Either we&#8217;re simultaneously on both sides of the Laffer curve, or else it&#8217;s a too simplistic model of the real world.</p>
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		<title>By: Jadegold</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/#comment-15885</link>
		<dc:creator>Jadegold</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Dec 2005 02:12:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=1101#comment-15885</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;This happened during the Reagan years as well.&lt;/i&gt;

Pure revisionism.

Reagan did cut taxes...initially.  Deficits exploded and Reagan was forced to enact the highest tax hikes in US history.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>This happened during the Reagan years as well.</i></p>
<p>Pure revisionism.</p>
<p>Reagan did cut taxes&#8230;initially.  Deficits exploded and Reagan was forced to enact the highest tax hikes in US history.</p>
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		<title>By: drpedro</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/#comment-15884</link>
		<dc:creator>drpedro</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Dec 2005 02:12:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=1101#comment-15884</guid>
		<description>Actually I have an MD, so you are all correct to question my economic wisdom...

However, as Quaker points out, this is not a zero sum game.  Improving efficiencies also increases production and output, which increases profits and yes, everyone wins.  This happened during the Reagan years as well.

I don&#039;t ignore the fact that setting taxes too low is also a problem, I just note that we are not there yet, as evidenced by the fact that tax receipts are the highest in history.

Correlation and causation are very familiar to me.  Go back and look at tax receipts after the marginal tax rate was lowered at any point in the last fifty years and you will get the point.  Correlation does not prove causation, but when you get 100% concordance between an action and an effect, you have a pretty good indication I would submit.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Actually I have an MD, so you are all correct to question my economic wisdom&#8230;</p>
<p>However, as Quaker points out, this is not a zero sum game.  Improving efficiencies also increases production and output, which increases profits and yes, everyone wins.  This happened during the Reagan years as well.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t ignore the fact that setting taxes too low is also a problem, I just note that we are not there yet, as evidenced by the fact that tax receipts are the highest in history.</p>
<p>Correlation and causation are very familiar to me.  Go back and look at tax receipts after the marginal tax rate was lowered at any point in the last fifty years and you will get the point.  Correlation does not prove causation, but when you get 100% concordance between an action and an effect, you have a pretty good indication I would submit.</p>
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		<title>By: Ryland</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/#comment-15883</link>
		<dc:creator>Ryland</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 Dec 2005 23:12:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=1101#comment-15883</guid>
		<description>I think the logic is supposed to be: we had taxes that were way too high, such that we were way over on the high-tax/low-revenue side of the Laffer curve, so reducing taxes raised collections and brought us closer to the &quot;sweet spot&quot;... which still doesn&#039;t explain why there was a budget surplus when Bush took office, but [Jedi hand wave] the surplus was created by Republicans, not by Clinton.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think the logic is supposed to be: we had taxes that were way too high, such that we were way over on the high-tax/low-revenue side of the Laffer curve, so reducing taxes raised collections and brought us closer to the &#8220;sweet spot&#8221;&#8230; which still doesn&#8217;t explain why there was a budget surplus when Bush took office, but [Jedi hand wave] the surplus was created by Republicans, not by Clinton.</p>
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		<title>By: Quaker in a Basement</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/#comment-15882</link>
		<dc:creator>Quaker in a Basement</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 Dec 2005 21:12:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=1101#comment-15882</guid>
		<description>Farris:

&lt;blockquote&gt;Quaker and Ryland, it s called the Laffer Curve. Those of us who passed Econ 101 already know it. &lt;/blockquote&gt;

Then you must also know that the Laffer curve illustrates that setting the tax rate to high, &lt;i&gt;or too low&lt;/i&gt;, results in lower government revenues. The curve suggests there&#039;s one magical point at which revenue is maximized. Any deviation from that point lowers revenue.

drpedro&#039;s boast ignores this inconvenient fact.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Farris:</p>
<blockquote><p>Quaker and Ryland, it s called the Laffer Curve. Those of us who passed Econ 101 already know it. </p></blockquote>
<p>Then you must also know that the Laffer curve illustrates that setting the tax rate to high, <i>or too low</i>, results in lower government revenues. The curve suggests there&#8217;s one magical point at which revenue is maximized. Any deviation from that point lowers revenue.</p>
<p>drpedro&#8217;s boast ignores this inconvenient fact.</p>
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		<title>By: BD</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/#comment-15881</link>
		<dc:creator>BD</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 Dec 2005 21:12:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=1101#comment-15881</guid>
		<description>There&#039;s a very amusing allusion to &lt;i&gt;Good Will Hunting&lt;/i&gt; going through my head, watching this conversation about the Laffer Curve.

Something about apples.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There&#8217;s a very amusing allusion to <i>Good Will Hunting</i> going through my head, watching this conversation about the Laffer Curve.</p>
<p>Something about apples.</p>
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		<title>By: Ryland</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/#comment-15880</link>
		<dc:creator>Ryland</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 Dec 2005 20:12:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=1101#comment-15880</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Quaker and Ryland, it s called the Laffer Curve. Those of us who passed Econ 101 already know it.&lt;/i&gt;

Oooh, SaveFarris is a college boy. Lookit you with yer fancy book-learnin&#039;.

I know what the Laffer Curve is, but even if tax cuts result in overall increased tax revenue, the government is still spending more than it&#039;s taking in. When that happens, those of us who passed Econ 101 refer to it as &lt;a href=&quot;http://dictionary.reference.com/search?q=deficit+spending&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;deficit spending&lt;/a&gt;, which is what my little attempt at humor was referring to.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Quaker and Ryland, it s called the Laffer Curve. Those of us who passed Econ 101 already know it.</i></p>
<p>Oooh, SaveFarris is a college boy. Lookit you with yer fancy book-learnin&#8217;.</p>
<p>I know what the Laffer Curve is, but even if tax cuts result in overall increased tax revenue, the government is still spending more than it&#8217;s taking in. When that happens, those of us who passed Econ 101 refer to it as <a href="http://dictionary.reference.com/search?q=deficit+spending" rel="nofollow">deficit spending</a>, which is what my little attempt at humor was referring to.</p>
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		<title>By: Joshua Gaines</title>
		<link>http://www.oliverwillis.com/2005/12/14/how-do-we-pay-tax-cuts/#comment-15878</link>
		<dc:creator>Joshua Gaines</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 Dec 2005 20:12:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://improveman.com/ow2008/?p=1101#comment-15878</guid>
		<description>What institution granted you your doctorate drpedro?  It must not have been very good because you haven&#039;t figured out the difference between correlation and causation.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What institution granted you your doctorate drpedro?  It must not have been very good because you haven&#8217;t figured out the difference between correlation and causation.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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