I like that. I like when keyboard jockeys who aren’t fit to sniff a jockstrap of any servicemember call a veteran congressman who’s a ranking member of a defense committee “underinformed” but instead prefer to believe the disconnected prouncements of an ostracized senator.
You’re right, Oliver, I am a jackass.
Well I believe Murtha is misinformed and that his call for a precipitous exit from Iraq would be disastrous on a number of fronts. In fact, it seems that the sane mainstream of both parties disagree with Murtha and agree with Goldstein et al. Murtha’s past service does not inoculate him from being (a) a crass partisan and/or (b) an out-of-touch buffoon.
Dugger
Frank,
All of this Macchievallan crap about Dems calling for a pullout so they can “take credit” for it makes no sense. Bush won’t draw down the troops, period. Other than standard troop rotation stuff and pre-arranged post-election redeployment, Bush won’t draw the troop level down significantly at all. Any Democrat knows that. Bush will sink or swim with the Iraq adventure all the way through. His Annapolis speech only confirms it. I guarantee there will be approximately 138,000 troops in Iraq in November 2006. Why? Because the situation will demand it. A trained Iraqi army is not necessarily the ticket to a stable Iraq. If the political situation isn’t worked out to the satisfaction of Sunnis, Shi’ites and Kurds, a trained Iraqi army will only lead to civil war. Do you think the political situation will be sufficiently settled by November 2006? I don’t.
Elrod
“I guarantee there will be approximately 138,000 troops in Iraq in November 2006.”
Believe you are wrong here. One year from now, expect the number to be around 100,000 and dropping. I could see an ongoing strategy of replacing American divisons with combat/morale ready Iraqi divisions. The replaced American divisions would got to the rear and then phase out (return to the states). My guess is that within three years, we will be down to 25,000 or less.
This is regardless of the political instability. I believe there will eventually be political instability but it will not so quickly resurface. There will be a “decent interval” permitting us to withdraw. Over time, however, things may revert to something near what you have described.
Dugger
1) The only person who has “ostracized” Joe Lieberman is Oliver. As far as I know, he is still the Senator from Connecticut.
2) To call Murtha “underinformed” is being diplomatic: I think he is a political hack. And before you toss a “Vietnam hero” grenade, I have three words: Randy “Duke” Cunningham.
3) Murtha is either deflecting attention from his own developing scandal, or was thrown up in a Democratic scheme — “look, we’ve got a Marine hero who agrees with us” — to make Bush look worse than ever.As the blog you referred to said, “[T]he Democrats realize the only way to do this is to frame the troop draw down as a defeat for the administration or, at the very least, as a cave-in to their pressures.”
At that point, will we be done “fighting the terrists,” or will we have simply handed off the job to someone else? If we stop fighting them over there, will we then have to start fighting them here? Will Iraq cease to be the “central front” in the war on terror?
See, I was just coming around to the idea that we’re fighting for a noble cause in Iraq, and now you’re telling me that we’re just going to up and quit.
So, you have ostracized Sen. Lieberman, therefore, what he has just personally witnessed is invalid, because you say it to be?
Give me a break.
Quaker,
If you are asking my position, as opposed to what I think the Admin’s is, I don’t regard Iraq as ‘the’ central front for the WOT. ‘A’ front, though. And no we will not be done fighting the Ts. That war started well before Iraq and will go on afterward. And in my opinion, we are in effect fighting the war here now and will have to for a long time. The nature of terrorism, you know.
And who says we should quit in Iraq, other than Murtha, Pelosi and Feingold? The Admin plan has always been to turn over the effort to the Iraqis when they are ready. My personal opinion is that they can be made to be combat ready – relative short term-, but that long term, they will revert and Iraq will revert. Which I hope is dead wrong. My position is not the same as Bush and the Neocons, but I also don’t buy the hate-filled, paranoid theories of the left concerning these folks. They were and are well-intentioned IMO.
Dugger
You’re saying the commander-in-chief is wrong? Don’t you realize this only emboldens the terrists?
No it hasn’t. The plan was to be “welcomed with sweets and flowers.” When that didn’t pan out, we started improvising.
Nevertheless, the justification for continuing the fight–directly from George Bush’s mouth–has been to defeat the terrorists and deny them a base of operations so they won’t attack us again on our soil.
The future you describe doesn’t seem to address any of those concerns.
Quaker
“No it hasn t. The plan was to be welcomed with sweets and flowers. When that didn t pan out, we started improvising.”
?????
Nobody anyplace has ever said that our plan re the war was to “welcomed with sweets and flowers.” That is nonsensical.
“Nevertheless, the justification for continuing the fight directly from George Bush s mouth has been to defeat the terrorists and deny them a base of operations so they won t attack us again on our soil.”
Say what? We have the same justification as when it started, modified by the reality that we are there. And yes I believe Iraq remains a component of the WOT. Perhaps you can enlighten me as to where Bush said the only reason we stay the course in Iraq is the above.
And since I differ somewhat from Bush and the neocons, why should my scenario be the same as his?
Dugger
It shouldn’t.
I just like making you say so.
Not “only.”
But here’s what he said on Tuesday:
More:
I think “sweets and flowers” was Ahmed Chalabi’s construction. Administration insiders were saying we’d be “greeted as liberators” and wouldn’t need to sustain a large force.
Iraqis, rather than foreign fighters, now form the vast majority of the insurgents who are waging a ferocious guerrilla war against United States forces in Sunni western Iraq, American commanders have revealed.
Their conclusion, disclosed to the Sunday Telegraph in interviews over 10 days in battle-torn Anbar province, contradicts the White House message that outsiders are the principal enemy in Iraq.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2005/12/04/wirq04.xml&sSheet=/portal/2005/12/04/ixportal.html
“I could see an ongoing strategy of replacing American divisons with combat/morale ready Iraqi divisions. The replaced American divisions would got to the rear and then phase out (return to the states). My guess is that within three years, we will be down to 25,000 or less.”
You better hope this isn’t what happens, dugger because you’ve just plainly and publicly announced our timetable for withdrawal! My god, you’ve compromised the whole mission!