So, the Bush presidency plans to reboot itself after a middling 2005. Thanks to Democratic solidarity and the unpopularity of his social security privatization plan, that action is dead in the water. True, Bush got to nominate a supreme but at best in Roberts he got a non-crazy conservative and not the Bork clone his base is so cuckoo for. Thanks to his incompetence in Katrina and the continuing futility of the war in Iraq, he has essentially lost the support of independents with only his base keeping him out of the sub-40 approval rating.
Based on my reading of the tea leaves, the best weapons Bush has in 2006 is the supreme court and the reauthorization of the Bush tax cuts. Democrats are going to have hold the line on those two issues, while also actually winning elections (a novel concept, I know) which means no more appeasement. Right now, Bush is weak on the Iraq war, and if Dems seek to do the morally correct and politically wise thing — they’ll make 2006 a referendum on getting out of Iraq and getting back to killing terrorists.
For all intents and purposes, 2006 is the last real year of the Bush presidency. Come 2007, people will be angling for the presidential nomination. I have a feeling that if Dems are even halfway good at holding the line, the GOP base is going to nominate someone from the crazy wing of the party without a chance in hell of winning the general election (ie. Tancredo, Gingrich or George “I Heart The Racist Hangman’s Noose” Allen), instead of the more pragmatic electable wing (Jeb! or McCain) which would be a heck of a help.
Related
GOP, Suddenly Against Partisanship
Kids + Dogs
links for 2008-03-13
The dog returns to it’s vomit.
DJ Drummond at Polipundit asks for help in figuring out a game plan to recover from Miers (Since they hardly mention Plamegate for days at a time I assume that’s what this is code for)
It seems the nose knows when a limb is putrifying from gangrene. The sickly sweet smell is a telltale omen of what must come next.
——–What Now?
One of the more regrettable effects of the Miers feuding here at Polipundit.com, and in the Conservative Movement in general, is the way that specific individuals were treated. Without relighting old fires by pointing to specifics, grossly undeserved insults were thrown at Conservatives by other Conservatives, purely spiteful articles were written and broadcast, and once the nomination was withdrawn, there were many on both sides which wished to continue the fighting. While it is certainly wise to pursue ways to put the matter behind us, and to repair the damage done, it would be very foolish, as some are trying to do, to ignore that real damage has been done, and that victories in the future depend on addressing the present condition.
While it may seem arrogant to do so, I will take that chance and present my own name as an example. If one goes to Technorati and enters DJ Drummond , the responses include a variety of opinion. ApparatChick is very unhappy with me, says I am writing screeds , and Ember Days says I am no longer worthy of respect.
On the other hand, Antimedia says I am exactly right, and the Strata Sphere concurs with that position. Curiouser & Curiouser says I am right in line with his thoughts, and Red State Rant thinks I am correct.
An Avenging Cantelope (now there s a blog name!) says DJ says exactly what I have been reaching for , and The Anchoress, in no way an extremist or fanatic, says DJ Drummond makes some excellent points and probably is quite right .
Am I taking those links to claim that Miers should have been confirmed? Not at all, nor am I saying the people opposing Miers did not have reason or right to speak their mind. However, the methods used, and many of the words chosen, have done damage, and it is very important to understand that I am not nearly alone in sending this warning.
The issue is not Miers now, but the Conservative Movement. Demanding people ignore the fact of very real injuries is simply not reasonable, nor would it be wise for people to seek to continue the feud. The question at hand is not an argument over things done, but the question about what to do to heal and regain momentum. While many Conservatives will find it easy to put this behind them, we have never had enough stability and unity to assume victory in key fights, which in fact is why we are still fighting so many battles in 2005, which ten years ago we would hardly have believed a Conservative-dominated Congress and White House would allow to linger. While we can dispute their number, there are Conservatives who voted in 2004, who are now inclined to sit out the next round. There are Conservatives who feel that they have been mocked and degraded, simply for their own principles, no less valid than the ideology which won the day against Miers. The Liberals, never reluctant to press an advantage, will certainly press this opening.
What, do you think, is the best thing to do to repair the damage?
– DJ Drummond
Wow, you were really right ont he money about 2006.
I don’t make much money at all, but I have no idea what is up with Bush’s Random Tax Cut Initiative (as it should be called). He cuts taxes pretty randomly, and it never helps the population as a whole. :-/